MARKET PILLAR · WOLVERINEData through Sep 21, 2026 · real data
Wolverine Marvel Reflections
2025 Topps Chrome Marvel · Marvel Reflections #MR-2 · SSP case hit · painted art
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
COIN FLIP
Case hit · PSA pop 28 · no PSA 10 sale · flat for a year
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
7/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 7 of 25. 31 base-card sales in thirteen months on Card Ladder: a raw copy every two weeks through July, then nothing since Aug 16. Every sale eBay; no auction house has listed the base card. Nothing is listed today. You can sell one in a month at $500; buying means waiting.
Grading payoff
3/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 3 of 20. Three of 28 came back a 10, eight a 9, twelve an 8, five a 7. The one 9 sold for $447 and the one 8 for $500: raw money, either way, minus the fee. The 10 has never sold; the calculator uses $1,500, three times raw, which is the Spider-Man ratio. Even at that, an 11% shot does not carry eight-in-nine outcomes that lose the fee.
Scarcity
13/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 13 of 20. A case hit, pop 28 after thirteen months, 31 base sales, nothing listed, out of print. As scarce as Spider-Man #MR-3 and graded less often. The parallels are scarcer still: 7 Shimmer /10, 5 Kaleidoscope /25 and 3 Raywave /5 on the census.
Price trend
5/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 5 of 15. Raw, monthly medians: $520 at release in August 2025, $301 that fall, $450 to $475 by December, $400 to $455 through the spring, $500 in July. A year inside $400 to $600 with no direction. Spider-Man from the same insert went $400 to $900 in the same months; Wolverine did not follow.
Price vs similar cards
8/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 8 of 20. Spider-Man #MR-3 sells for $624 to $900 raw and $1,600 in a PSA 9; Wolverine is $500 raw and $447 in a 9. Thanos #MR-4 is a $3,328 PSA 10, Galactus $1,500, Doom $300. Wolverine sits with Doom on the graded ladder and with Spider-Man on the raw one, which says the raw price is holding up better than the slabs deserve. Fair for the character; the parallels are where the insert prices Wolverine.
The other case hit of 2025 Topps Chrome Marvel, Wolverine with Sabretooth in the reflection, and a card whose base version has never had a PSA 10 sell. A raw copy brings about $500, where it has been for a year; PSA has graded 28 and gemmed 11%, three copies. The two graded sales that exist, a PSA 9 at $447 and a PSA 8 at $500, sold for raw money. All of this card's excitement is in the parallels: a Raywave /5 PSA 9 brought $5,185 at Goldin, a Shimmer /10 PSA 9 $1,464. The base is a $500 card that the graders have not been kind to and the market has not moved. Spider-Man #MR-3, its partner in the insert, is the one running.
Raw Last 3 Sales
$500
•$500 (Jul 6)
•$384 (Jul 9)
•$595 (Jul 15, 2026)
•eBay
Raw Year over Year
-4%
$520 at release (Aug 2025) to $500
PSA 9 One Sale
$447
•eBay
•May 22, 2026
•raw money
PSA Pop
28
•3 tens
•8 nines
•12 eights
•5 sevens
PSA Gem Rate
11%
•on 28 graded
•no 10 has sold
Base Sales 13 Months · Card Ladder
31
•$20 and up
•29 raw
•2 slabs
•plus 8 parallel sales
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Raw is the last three sales; the two graded rungs are one sale each.
RAW
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES
$500
$384 to $595 in July · $256 to $455 in the spring · eBay
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Every 2 weeks
29 sales in 13 months · 93% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
▲ +$0
1.00×
is what a RAW copy sells for over the one PSA 8: the same money
PSA 8
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES
$500
$500 · eBay · Aug 16, 2026 · one sale · the most recent sale of the card
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Once
1 sale in 13 months · 4% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
12
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$53
1.12×
is what the one PSA 8 sold for over the one PSA 9. One sale each, three months apart; the slabs have no ladder yet
PSA 9
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES
$447
$447 · eBay · May 22, 2026 · one sale · under the 8
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Once
1 sale in 13 months · 3% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
8
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEPSA 10 · 3 exist · no sale recorded · guide blank · calculator uses $1,500 (3× raw, the Spider-Man ratio)Raywave /5 · PSA 9 $5,185 (Goldin, Jun 17, 2026) · raw $3,851 (Aug 13, 2025) · 3 gradedShimmer /10 · PSA 9 $1,464 (Goldin, Jun 17, 2026) · PSA 8 $1,220 (Goldin, Feb 25) · raw $1,525 (Jul 27, 2025) · 7 gradedKaleidoscope /25 · raw $630 (Jul 11) and $450 (Aug 8, 2026) · PSA 8 $611 (Goldin, Oct 23, 2025) · 5 graded: barely over the baseRaw, unverified · $1,009 (eBay, Aug 15, 2025) at twice the market, probably an unlabelled parallel; excludedMarvel Studios Chrome Reflections R-1 (Wolverine & Hulk) · a different 2025 product: PSA 10 $2,225 (Sep 11), raw $425 to $650; do not comp it to this card
PSA 9 ÷ Raw
0.89×
the slab sold under raw, on one sale
PSA 8 ÷ Raw
1.00×
raw money
Wolverine ÷ Spider-Man (raw)
0.80×
$500 against Spider-Man #MR-3 at $624
Raywave /5 PSA 9 ÷ Base Raw
10×
where the insert prices Wolverine
What the auction houses change.The houses add nothing for the base card, and everything for the parallels. Goldin has sold four Wolverine Reflections, all numbered: the Raywave /5 PSA 9 at $5,185 and the Shimmer /10 PSA 9 at $1,464 on the same June night, a Shimmer /10 PSA 8 at $1,220 in February and a Kaleidoscope /25 PSA 8 at $611 last October. Fanatics, ALT and Heritage have never listed any version, and no house has listed the base MR-2; we reran Card Ladder without the platform filter to be sure. All 31 base sales are eBay. If you own a numbered Wolverine, Goldin is the room; if you own the base, it is an eBay auction.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
Three of 28 PSA copies came back a 10, eight a 9, twelve an 8, five a 7. We start at 11%.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
Raw is the last three sales. The PSA 9 and PSA 8 are one sale each. The PSA 10 has never sold and the guide is blank; $1,500 is three times raw, the ratio Spider-Man #MR-3's two 10s show. There are no auction-house sales for the base card, so that column repeats eBay.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA's bulk tier is $25 at this declared value; a four-figure result moves up a tier, so we add $25 on a 10. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
Fourteen months · raw
Price History
Release at $600, a dip to $310 in the first fall, then $400 to $490 every month since December. Flat. No graded line: the two slab sales were raw money and no PSA 10 has sold.
Raw median eBay sale and count from Card Ladder (base card, verified rows); no auction house has sold the base card. *September through the 21st: no sale since Aug 16.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
11%
9
29%
8
43%
≤7
18%
28 graded by PSA in thirteen months. One in nine is a 10; six in ten are an 8 or a 7. Same painted-art chrome as the Spider-Man and a harder surface to gem, on this sample.
BY GRADER
PSA
28
3 tens · 11%
BGS
0
none listed
CGC
0
none listed
SGC
0
none listed
A PSA-only card with 28 base slabs and two sales among them. The numbered parallels carry the graded market: Goldin's four Wolverine Reflections sales were all PSA 8s and 9s of the /5, /10 and /25.
SUPPLY: A CASE HIT FROM A SMALL 2025 PRODUCT
2025 Topps Chrome Marvel released in late July 2025 with Marvel Reflections as its case hit: base, Kaleidoscope /25, Shimmer /10, Raywave /5 and a SuperFractor. 28 base Wolverines graded, 31 base sales in thirteen months, nothing listed today, and the 2026 set has moved on. Estimated value of all slabbed base copies at today's prices: about $16K, most of it in three 10s that have never been priced.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$12.9K changed hands across 31 base-card sales in thirteen months, Jul 27, 2025 to Aug 16, 2026.
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
93%
93%of dollars · Raw
3%of dollars · PSA 9
4%of dollars · PSA 8
EBAY
$12.9K
100% of the base card's money · every sale, every grade
AUCTION HOUSES
$0
0% for the base · Goldin: four numbered parallels, $611 to $5,185
BASE-CARD SALES, 13 MONTHS, BY VENUE
31eBay0Goldin0ALT0Fanatics Weekly0Heritage
THE MOOD
No base MR-2 is listed on eBay at any grade on Sep 21, 2026, and the last sale of any kind was the PSA 8 at $500 on Aug 16. Five weeks without a sale and nothing on the shelf. The next listing sets the price, and the last four were $384 to $595. Sellers: a 7-day auction will find the July buyers. Buyers: a saved search, and pay $450 to $500 when one appears.
The comps
The Rest of the Insert, and Wolverine's Own Parallels
MARVEL REFLECTIONS
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Wolverine #MR-2 · raw
$595
eBay · Jul 15, 2026
Wolverine #MR-2 · PSA 8
$500
eBay · Aug 16, 2026
Wolverine #MR-2 · PSA 9
$447
eBay · May 22, 2026
Wolverine #MR-2 Raywave /5 · PSA 9
$5,185
Goldin · Jun 17, 2026
Wolverine #MR-2 Shimmer /10 · PSA 9
$1,464
Goldin · Jun 17, 2026
Wolverine #MR-2 Kaleidoscope /25 · raw
$630
eBay · Jul 11, 2026
Spider-Man #MR-3 · PSA 9
$1,600
eBay · Sep 1, 2026
Spider-Man #MR-3 · raw
$900
eBay · Aug 17, 2026
Thanos #MR-4 · PSA 10
$3,328
eBay · Sep 11, 2026
Doctor Doom #MR-1 · PSA 10
$300
eBay · Aug 11, 2026
The base Wolverine is a $500 card at every grade that has sold; the numbered Wolverines are a different market, ten times up. Spider-Man, the other case hit, has pulled away in 2026 (raw $900, PSA 9 $1,600) while Wolverine stayed put. Thanos and Doom bracket the insert.
The tape
Every base-card sale, thirteen months
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 31 SALES
All venues, all grades, Jul 27, 2025 to Aug 16, 2026, $20 and up: all 31 base rows from the MR-2 query (8 parallel rows in the data file).
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Aug 16, 2026
PSA 8
$500
eBay
Jul 15, 2026
RAW
$595
eBay
Jul 9, 2026
RAW
$384
eBay
Jul 6, 2026
RAW
$500
eBay
May 26, 2026
RAW
$325
eBay
May 22, 2026
PSA 9
$447
eBay
May 6, 2026
RAW
$405
eBay
Apr 6, 2026
RAW
$450
eBay
Mar 19, 2026
RAW
$256
eBay
Mar 1, 2026
RAW
$406
eBay
Feb 19, 2026
RAW
$430
eBay
Feb 3, 2026
RAW
$455
eBay
Dec 10, 2025
RAW
$455
eBay
Nov 26, 2025
RAW
$450
eBay
Nov 20, 2025
RAW
$475
eBay
Oct 26, 2025
RAW
$510
eBay
Oct 18, 2025
RAW
$300
eBay
Oct 12, 2025
RAW
$280
eBay
Oct 6, 2025
RAW
$330
eBay
Sep 29, 2025
RAW
$250
eBay
Sep 24, 2025
RAW
$301
eBay
Sep 18, 2025
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 17, 2025
RAW
$250
eBay
Sep 3, 2025
RAW
$350
eBay
Aug 30, 2025
RAW
$350
eBay
Aug 28, 2025
RAW
$357
eBay
Aug 15, 2025
RAW
$1,009
eBay
Aug 7, 2025
RAW
$425
eBay
Aug 3, 2025
RAW
$488
eBay
Jul 28, 2025
RAW
$395
eBay
Jul 27, 2025
RAW
$355
eBay
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 10
STEAL
under $380
Under every 2026 sale but one
TARGET
$380 – $500
Where the card has traded all year: $418 2026 median
FAIR
$500 – $600
The July high and the PSA 8
STRETCHED
$600 – $800
Above every base sale in 2026. Kaleidoscope /25 money
WALK AWAY
over $800
The unverified $1,009 and the Shimmer /10. Not this card
PSA 9
Targetunder $450
Fair$450 – $550
Walk awayover $700
One sale, $447, under raw. A 9 is the card in a case at raw money; buy it that way and expect nothing from the label.
PSA 10
Targetunder $1,200
Fair$1,200 – $1,800
Walk awayover $2,500
Three exist and none has sold. Spider-Man's two 10s went $1,307 and $2,400 against a $550 raw; the same ratio here is $1,200 to $1,800. Pay it only at a house auction with other bidders, never on a Buy It Now guess.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
A case hit on Wolverine, pop 28, 31 sales in thirteen months, nothing listed, out of print
The insert is moving: Spider-Man doubled and Thanos printed $3,328; Wolverine has not moved yet and is the cheapest case hit in the set
Three PSA 10s exist and none has sold; the first sale on a Wolverine case hit with Goldin's Marvel buyers in the room could reset the card
The parallels prove the demand: $5,185 for a Raywave 9 and $1,464 for a Shimmer 9 in one night
AGAINST
An 11% gem rate and both graded sales at raw money. Grading this card has not paid once
Flat for a year while its partner card doubled. The market has looked at it and passed
No sale of any kind in five weeks and no listing. When you want out, you set the price and hope
The 10 is a guess. There is no guide number and no sale; $1,500 is arithmetic, not a bid
THE VERDICT
Holding a raw copy? Keep it raw, unless it is perfect. Both slab sales were raw money and eight in nine submissions come back a 9 or worse. A flawless copy under a light is an 11% shot at a pop-3 PSA 10 that has never been priced, and that is the only version of this card worth the fee. Holding a numbered copy? That is a different card: consign it to Goldin. Buying? Raw at $380 to $500 when one appears; it is the cheapest case hit in an insert that is otherwise going up, and Wolverine does not stay cheap forever. A 9 under $450 if you want the case.
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