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CARD IMAGE
PSA cert image or own scan
MARKET PILLAR · VICTOR WEMBANYAMAData through Sep 19, 2026 · real data

Wembanyama
Prizm Silver RC

2023-24 Panini Prizm · #136 · Silver Prizm
71
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
Open supply · trade, not vault
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
25/25
Grading payoff
14/20
Scarcity
10/20
Price trend
14/15
Price vs similar cards
8/20

It fell 66% from launch, sat near $720 for a year, then doubled in four months as the Spurs ran to the Finals. A PSA 10 now costs $3,050, the most it ever has. The grading math still works. The question is whether you want to be the one buying the top.

PSA 10
30-Day Median
$3,050
  • •eBay, 47 sales
  • •auction houses $2,963, 18 sales
PSA 10
9-Month Move
+100%
$1,500 in Jan 2026 to $3,000 now
PSA 10
Vs Peak
−2%
  • •Peak month $3,100
  • •Aug 2026
Total Graded Pop
9,313
  • •PSA 8,672
  • •BGS 320
  • •SGC 301
  • •CGC 20
PSA Gem Rate
60.8%
5,274 tens
90-Day Volume
All Grades
$773K
  • •375 sales
  • •eBay plus five auction venues
The spine of the report

The Grade Ladder

Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. The number between two rungs is what it costs to step up.

PSA 10
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · EBAY, LAST 30 DAYS
$3,050
$2,963 at auction houses
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
15 a week
193 sales in 90 days · 74% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
5,274
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$1,475
1.9×
to step up from a BGS 9.5 to a PSA 10
BGS 9.5+
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · EBAY, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,575
$1,950 at auction houses
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Under 1 a week
10 sales in 90 days · 3% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
202
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$375
1.3×
to step up from a PSA 9 to a BGS 9.5
PSA 9
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · EBAY, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,200
$943 at auction houses
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
5 a week
67 sales in 90 days · 9% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
2,844
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$75
1.07×
is all a PSA 9 adds over a raw copy. At auction houses a PSA 9 is $182 cheaper than raw on eBay.
RAW
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · EBAY, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,125
eBay only, none at auction
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
7 a week
91 sales in 90 days · 12% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
▲ +$475
from a PSA 8 to a raw copy. A low grade is worth less than no grade.
PSA 8
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · EBAY, LAST 30 DAYS
$650
one sale, treat as a guess
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
1 sale
in 90 days · under 1% of dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
380
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICESGC 10 · 78 exist · last sold $2,158 (May 2026)PSA 7 and below · 171 exist · 4 sales in 90 days
PSA 10 ÷ PSA 9
2.5× to 3.1×
eBay 2.5× · auction houses 3.1× · his base card 3.8× · Luka Silver 3.2×
PSA 10 ÷ Raw
2.7×
$3,050 against a $1,125 raw copy
PSA 9 ÷ Raw
0.84× to 1.07×
A PSA 9 at auction ($943) costs less than a raw copy on eBay ($1,125)
Silver ÷ Base (PSA 10)
7.8×
Base #136 PSA 10: $390
What the auction houses change. On eBay alone the PSA 10 looked like the clear best-value rung at 2.5× a PSA 9. Add ALT, Fanatics, Goldin and Heritage and the picture shifts: PSA 9s sell for $943 there against $1,200 on eBay, which makes the 10 about 3.1× a 9, in line with Luka's Silver. Two takeaways. The 10 is still fairly priced against the ladder, just not a bargain. And the cheapest real way into this card is a PSA 9 at a weekly auction, where it costs less than an ungraded copy does on eBay.
Interactive

Grade It or Skip It

Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.

YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies so far: 61% came back a 10. We start at 45% because the cleanest copies were graded first.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
eBay prices are the last 30 days. Auction-house prices are the 90-day middle at ALT, Fanatics Weekly, Goldin and Heritage.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills a higher tier when the graded card is worth more than the tier you paid for. On this card a 10 triggers it.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
32-month arc

Price History

Launch hype, a 66% slide, a year on the floor, then the run. Notice raw and PSA 9 moving as one line the whole way.

PSA 10the troughPSA 9Raw
$0$1K$2K$3KFeb 2024Dec 2024Jun 2025Dec 2025May 2026Sep 2026Trough $719 · Jun 2025Launch $2,136 · Feb 2024
2026
EBAY · SALES
MoM
AUCTION HOUSES
GAP
Jan
$1,500 · 49
—
$1,410 · 15
−6%
Feb
$1,500 · 47
+0%
$1,454 · 18
−3%
Mar
$2,000 · 104
+33%
$1,830 · 23
−8%
Apr
$2,687 · 98
+34%
$2,520 · 28
−6%
May
$3,049 · 236
+13%
$2,909 · 39
−5%
Jun
$3,050 · 156
+0%
$2,704 · 33
−11%
Jul
$2,875 · 48
−6%
$2,760 · 23
−4%
Aug
$3,100 · 51
+8%
$2,966 · 9
−4%
Sep*
$2,999 · 25
−3%
$3,000 · 13
+0%
PSA 10 middle sale price and number of sales. *September through the 19th. May was the Western Conference Finals month: 275 sales across all venues. Auction houses ran 3% to 11% under eBay all year. In September the gap closed.
Census

The Grading Picture

PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
60.8%
9
32.8%
8
4.4%
≤7
2.0%
8,672 graded by PSA. 93.6% came back a 9 or a 10.
BY GRADER
PSA
8,672
5,274 tens · 60.8%
BGS
320
202 at 9.5+ · 63.1%
SGC
301
78 tens · 25.9%
CGC
20
7 gems · 35.0%
This is a PSA card: 93% of all graded copies. SGC is the tough grader here at 26% tens.
SUPPLY: OPEN
The print run is finished, but the PSA 10 supply is not. Grading a raw copy still carries a positive expected value, so raw keeps converting into slabs. Estimated value of all slabbed copies at today's prices: about $20.6M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure

Where the Money Is

$773K changed hands across 375 sales in the last 90 days.

SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
74%
12%
9%
74% of dollars · PSA 10
12% of dollars · Raw
9% of dollars · PSA 9
5% of dollars · Everything else
EBAY
$592K
77% of the money · every grade, and the only place raw copies sell
AUCTION HOUSES
$181K
23% of the money · almost all PSA 10s
PSA 10 SALES THIS YEAR, BY AUCTION HOUSE
77 ALT76 Fanatics Weekly41 Fanatics Buy Now7 Goldin3 Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest PSA 10 you can buy right now is $2,999. The typical sale is $3,050. When asking prices dip under sale prices, sellers are chasing buyers.
The comps

Same Card, Earlier Phenoms

PRIZM SILVER RC · PSA 10
PEAK → NOW
OFF PEAK
Wembanyama 2023-24
$3,100 (Aug 2026) → $3,050
−2%
Luka Dončić 2018-19
$8,286 (Mar 2021) → $1,772
−79%
Zion Williamson 2019-20
$4,712 (Apr 2021) → $275
−94%
Luka became everything he was supposed to be and his Silver still lost four fifths of its peak. Great players and great entry prices are different things.
Where to buy

The Buy Ladder

PSA 10
STEAL
under $2,425
Below every sale of the last 90 days, on any venue
TARGET
$2,425 – $2,750
Bottom third of the 90-day range. This is where ALT and Fanatics Weekly auctions land: their 90-day middle price is $2,880 against $3,000 on eBay
FAIR
$2,750 – $3,050
Up to the 30-day median. The cheapest Buy-It-Now today is $2,999
STRETCHED
$3,050 – $3,400
The Buy-It-Now wall: 52 listings, most between $3,075 and $3,575
WALK AWAY
over $3,400
Above all but a handful of the 193 sales in 90 days. The few higher ones were Heritage (with buyer's premium) and fixed-price Fanatics Buy Now listings
RAW
Targetunder $950
Fair$950 – $1,150
Walk awayover $1,300
The cheapest raw Buy-It-Now is $1,499. The cheapest PSA 9 is $1,300. Never pay more for the ungraded card than for a graded 9.
PSA 9
Targetunder $950
Fair$950 – $1,200
Walk awayover $1,400
Ten PSA 9s sold at auction houses in 90 days at a middle price of $931. eBay's was $1,075. Buy the 9 at auction.
Every angle

The Case For and Against

FOR
The most liquid high-end modern basketball card there is: 375 sales and $773K in 90 days across eBay and five auction venues
He delivered: 62 wins, Defensive Player of the Year, third in MVP voting and a Finals run at age 22
Flagship Silver rookie from the last years of the Panini NBA license. There will never be another Prizm Wemby rookie year
Every venue agrees on the price. eBay, ALT, Fanatics, Goldin and Heritage all put a PSA 10 between $2,900 and $3,100 this month, so the level is real and not one marketplace's quirk
AGAINST
It is at an all-time high. It doubled in four months on a playoff run, and monthly sales across all venues have already fallen from 275 in May to about 60
Same card, prior hype cycles: Zion's Prizm Silver PSA 10 is 94% off its peak, Luka's is 79% off
5,274 PSA 10s and counting. Six in ten submissions gem, grading still pays, so the supply of 10s keeps growing
A 7-foot-4 frame with a calf strain already on the record this season. Injury risk is priced like it does not exist
THE VERDICT

Holding a clean raw copy? Grade it. You only need about a one-in-ten shot at a 10 to beat selling it raw. Buying? Skip raw entirely, since raw costs more than a PSA 9 does at auction. Just buy it in the Target zone under $2,750 and not off the Buy-It-Now wall, and look at ALT and Fanatics Weekly first: they have run 3% to 11% under eBay all year. On a budget, a PSA 9 at auction (about $940) is cheaper than a raw copy on eBay. Volume has dropped by three quarters since May, and sellers are starting to blink.

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FUTUREPSAGRADER RESEARCH · Data through Sep 19, 2026 · Not financial advice.