MARKET PILLAR · MICKEY MOUSEData through Sep 21, 2026 · real data
Mickey Mouse Disney 100 Refractor #1
2023 Topps Chrome Disney 100 · card #1 · Refractor (unnumbered) · the card the Disney Chrome market moved on
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
Disney Chrome's card one · 39% gem rate · 20× in a year
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
19/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 19 of 25. 47 base-Refractor sales in thirty days on Card Ladder: a raw copy most days (23), a PSA 9 every two or three days (12), a PSA 10 every four (7), at $5,200 to $6,888. Almost all eBay; Fanatics Weekly sold a 9 and an 8. The parallels add another forty sales. Liquid at every grade, at prices that were not there in July.
Grading payoff
11/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 11 of 20. A 10 is worth 3.7× raw and 39% get there. A 9 sells for $1,795, $170 over raw: the likeliest miss pays the fee and not much more. An 8 ($1,427) loses $198. Strong math on a clean copy, but the raw price already carries most of the 10 premium, and PSA's fee on a $1,600 declared value is real money.
Scarcity
9/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 9 of 20. An unnumbered Refractor from a 2023 product that is sold through: 517 graded, 185 PSA 10s, and raw copies surfacing daily at $1,625 from collections that bought it at $80. Finite but not small; the numbered parallels (256 Pink, 200 Purple, 101 Diamond graded) are where scarcity is priced.
Price trend
13/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 13 of 15. PSA 10 on eBay, monthly: $255 in October 2025, $388 in January, $460 in April, $885 in May, $4,163 in July, $7,125 in August, $5,950 in September. Raw $80 to $1,625 on the same curve. The August jump is the whole Disney Chrome market (the 2024 Sapphire Woody and Buzz tripled the same month). September is the first month lower than the last, by 16%.
Price vs similar cards
6/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 6 of 20. Its own parallels are the comps: Pink /399 PSA 10 $8,200, Purple /299 $9,570, Blue /75 $17,877, Diamond /100 PSA 9 $44,999. The unnumbered Refractor at $6,001 is 73% of the Pink /399, which is a thin discount for a card with three times the pop. Against the 2024 Sapphire Woody ($870 in a 10 after its own run), Mickey is seven times the price. Expensive by every measure but the one that matters to the buyers: it is Mickey, card one, and the category's flagship.
Card number one of the set that started Disney Chrome, in the Refractor, and the card that repriced the whole category in August 2026. A PSA 10 was $255 last October, $460 in April, $885 in May, $4,163 in July and $6,001 in the last thirty days, on 7 sales. A raw copy went from $80 in March to $1,625; a PSA 9 sells for $1,795, only $170 more, because every raw copy is bought to be graded. PSA has graded 472 and gemmed 39%. The Pink /399 sells for $8,200 in a 10, a Diamond /100 PSA 9 brought $44,999. This is a twenty-fold move in a year, most of it in one month, and September's sales are the first that are not higher than the month before.
PSA 10 30-Day Median
$6,001
•7 sales Aug 24-Sep 17
•$5,200 to $6,888
•eBay
PSA 10 Year over Year
+2233%
$255 (Oct 2025) to $5,950 (Sep 2026), eBay monthly
Raw 30-Day Median
$1,625
•23 sales
•PSA 9 $1,795
•PSA 8 $1,427
Total Graded Pop
517
•PSA 472
•CGC 22
•SGC 19
•BGS 4
PSA Gem Rate
39.2%
•185 tens
•242 nines
•39 eights
Sales in 30 Days Card Ladder
47
•base Refractor
•plus 26 numbered-parallel sales
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Base Refractor #1 only, priced on Aug 21 to Sep 20, 2026; the numbered parallels sit in the strip.
PSA 10
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$6,001
$5,200 to $6,888 · eBay, Aug 24 to Sep 17, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Every 4 days
7 sales in 30 days · 39% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
185
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$3,828
2.76×
from a CGC 10 to a PSA 10. The PSA label, on one CGC sale
CGC 10
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$2,173
$2,173 · eBay · Sep 19, 2026 · one sale · PSA 9 money plus $400
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
A few a month
1 sale in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
4
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$378
1.21×
from a PSA 9 to a CGC 10
PSA 9
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,795
$1,400 to $2,550 · eBay and Fanatics Weekly
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Every 2-3 days
12 sales in 30 days · 21% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
242
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$170
1.10×
from raw to a PSA 9. Raw is bought to grade; the 9 barely beats it
RAW
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,625
$1,100 to $2,400 · eBay
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Most days
23 sales in 30 days · 33% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
▲ +$198
1.14×
is what a RAW copy sells for over a PSA 8
PSA 8
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,427
$1,195 to $1,523 · eBay and Fanatics Weekly · under raw
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a week
4 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
39
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEPink /399 · PSA 10 $8,200 median (14 sales, $6,000 to $10,200) · PSA 9 $3,449 · PSA 8 $3,050 · raw $1,950 to $2,750 · 256 graded, 60% gemPurple /299 · PSA 10 $9,040 and $10,100 (Sep 2-18, 2026) · 200 gradedGreen /99 · raw $4,261 and $10,000 (Aug 29 to Sep 8, 2026)Blue /75 · PSA 10 $17,877 (Aug 29) · PSA 9 $5,280 (Fanatics, Sep 13) · PSA 8 $3,240 (Fanatics, Sep 20, 2026)100-Year Diamond /100 · PSA 9 $44,999 (eBay, Aug 27, 2026) · 101 gradedNot the Refractor · three 'raw' rows at $52 to $304 are the base non-Refractor card, titled as this one
PSA 10 ÷ PSA 9
3.3×
185 tens against 242 nines
PSA 10 ÷ Raw
3.7×
with a 39% chance of getting there
Now ÷ April (PSA 10)
13×
$460 to $6,001 in five months
Refractor ÷ Pink /399 (PSA 10)
0.73×
$6,001 against the Pink at $8,200
What the auction houses change.eBay is the market. All 7 PSA 10s this month sold there, at a median of $6,001; Fanatics Weekly sold one PSA 9 at $2,190 and one PSA 8 at $1,470 on Aug 23 (both inside eBay's range) and moved Blue /75 slabs at $3,240 to $5,280. Goldin, ALT and Heritage have not listed the base Refractor since the run began. Earlier this year the house pass had PSA 10s at $4,320; that was July money. Sell a 10 on eBay with a 7-day auction; the buyers are there every four days.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies so far: 39% came back a 10, 51% a 9. We start at 39%.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
Prices are the last 30 days, every venue. Auction-house PSA 9 and 8 are Fanatics Weekly's Aug 23 sales; no house has sold the 10 in the window, so that repeats eBay.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills by declared value. A raw copy declared at $1,600 is a $75 tier; a $6,000 result moves up two tiers, so we add $100 on a 10. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
Eight months · PSA 10
Price History
$400 from February to June, $549 in July, $6,300 in August. One month. The 9 went $210 to $2,715 and raw $188 to $1,612 in the same month. September is flat to slightly lower at every grade.
PSA 10 average eBay sale and sold count from Terapeak (base Refractor, title-filtered; two pulls, $80-499 and $500 up); no auction house has sold the base 10 since the run began. *September through the 20th.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
39.2%
9
51.3%
8
8.3%
≤7
1.3%
472 graded by PSA. Four in ten are a 10, half are 9s. 2023 Disney Chrome was cut and packed like a base Topps Chrome product: centering and the odd surface line, nothing worse. Expect the gem rate to fall as $80-era copies come out of binders.
BY GRADER
PSA
472
185 tens · 39.2%
CGC
22
4 tens · 11 nines
SGC
19
7 tens · 6 at 9.5
BGS
4
1 at 9.5
A PSA card (91%). The one CGC 10 sold for a third of the PSA 10; SGC 10s are listed at $4,500 to $7,999 with no sale behind them.
SUPPLY: A 2023 PRODUCT, SOLD THROUGH, COMING OUT OF BINDERS
2023 Topps Chrome Disney 100 was the first Disney Chrome set and sold through in 2023. The Refractor is the unnumbered first parallel, one or two per box; nobody publishes a count. 517 graded, and raw copies are surfacing every day at $1,625 from people who paid $80, most of them headed to PSA. Estimated value of all slabbed base Refractors at today's prices: about $1.70M, up from a few hundred thousand in June.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$108K changed hands across 47 base-Refractor sales in thirty days, Aug 21 to Sep 20, 2026; the numbered parallels added another $233K.
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
39%
21%
33%
7%
39%of dollars · PSA 10
21%of dollars · PSA 9
33%of dollars · Raw
7%of dollars · PSA 8 and CGC 10
EBAY
$105K
97% of the month's money · every PSA 10, every raw
AUCTION HOUSES
$3.7K
3% · Fanatics Weekly: one PSA 9 ($2,190) and one PSA 8 ($1,470), Aug 23
BASE-REFRACTOR SALES IN 30 DAYS, BY VENUE
45eBay2Fanatics Weekly0Goldin0ALT0Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest PSA 10 listed is $7,950, a third over the month's $6,001 median and above every sale but none; PSA 9s ask $1,750 against $1,795, which is the market; raw asks run from a $600 outlier to $2,500 against $1,625. The 9s and raws are priced to trade. The 10s are priced for August's $7,125 average, and September has printed lower. Bid $5,500 and wait; one clears every four days.
The comps
Card One and Its Parallels
2023 DISNEY 100 MICKEY #1
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Refractor · PSA 10
$6,888
eBay · Aug 24, 2026
Refractor · PSA 10
$5,200
eBay · Sep 17, 2026
Refractor · PSA 9
$2,190
Fanatics Weekly · Aug 23, 2026
Pink Refractor /399 · PSA 10
$10,200
eBay · Aug 22, 2026
Pink Refractor /399 · PSA 10
$6,000
eBay · Sep 16, 2026
Purple Refractor /299 · PSA 10
$10,100
eBay · Sep 2, 2026
Blue Refractor /75 · PSA 10
$17,877
eBay · Aug 29, 2026
100-Year Diamond /100 · PSA 9
$44,999
eBay · Aug 27, 2026
Woody 2024 Sapphire #63 · PSA 10
$870
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
The parallels moved first and furthest (a Pink /399 10 has sold from $6,000 to $10,200 inside four weeks); the unnumbered Refractor followed at three quarters of the Pink. The Woody Sapphire, the other Disney Chrome card on this site, made the same August move at a tenth of the price. This is a category repricing, and Mickey card one is its flagship.
The tape
Every base-Refractor sale, thirty days
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 47 SALES
All venues, all grades, Aug 21 to Sep 20, 2026, $40 and up: 47 base rows (26 numbered-parallel rows and 5 mis-titled rows are in the data file).
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$1,750
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$1,400
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$1,350
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
CGC 10
$2,173
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 9
$1,625
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$1,225
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$1,149
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$1,126
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$5,200
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$1,485
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$5,400
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 8
$1,384
eBay
Sep 12, 2026
RAW
$2,025
eBay
Sep 12, 2026
PSA 9
$1,826
eBay
Sep 11, 2026
PSA 9
$1,785
eBay
Sep 9, 2026
PSA 10
$6,500
eBay
Sep 9, 2026
PSA 10
$5,900
eBay
Sep 9, 2026
RAW
$1,650
eBay
Sep 8, 2026
RAW
$1,100
eBay
Sep 7, 2026
RAW
$1,225
eBay
Sep 7, 2026
PSA 8
$1,195
eBay
Sep 6, 2026
PSA 9
$1,805
eBay
Sep 5, 2026
PSA 9
$1,550
eBay
Sep 5, 2026
RAW
$1,480
eBay
Sep 4, 2026
PSA 9
$1,628
eBay
Sep 2, 2026
RAW
$1,820
eBay
Sep 2, 2026
RAW
$1,800
eBay
Sep 1, 2026
PSA 10
$6,001
eBay
Sep 1, 2026
RAW
$2,400
eBay
Aug 31, 2026
RAW
$1,625
eBay
Aug 30, 2026
PSA 9
$2,126
eBay
Aug 30, 2026
RAW
$1,469
eBay
Aug 29, 2026
PSA 9
$2,025
eBay
Aug 29, 2026
RAW
$1,825
eBay
Aug 29, 2026
RAW
$1,800
eBay
Aug 29, 2026
RAW
$1,371
eBay
Aug 27, 2026
RAW
$1,675
eBay
Aug 27, 2026
PSA 8
$1,523
eBay
Aug 26, 2026
RAW
$1,845
eBay
Aug 26, 2026
RAW
$1,631
eBay
Aug 25, 2026
PSA 10
$6,300
eBay
Aug 25, 2026
RAW
$1,325
eBay
Aug 24, 2026
PSA 10
$6,888
eBay
Aug 24, 2026
RAW
$1,850
eBay
Aug 23, 2026
PSA 9
$2,190
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 23, 2026
PSA 8
$1,470
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 22, 2026
PSA 9
$2,550
eBay
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 10
STEAL
under $5,200
Under every sale of the last thirty days
TARGET
$5,200 – $6,000
The September sales: $5,200, $5,400, $5,900, $6,001
FAIR
$6,000 – $6,900
The late-August sales: $6,300, $6,500, $6,888
STRETCHED
$6,900 – $8,000
The listings. August's average was $7,125 and September has not matched it
WALK AWAY
over $8,000
Pink /399 money for the unnumbered card
PSA 9
Targetunder $1,700
Fair$1,700 – $2,000
Walk awayover $2,300
12 sales this month, $1,400 to $2,550. A 9 is a third of the 10 and barely more than raw; the right buy if you want the flagship slabbed without paying for centering.
RAW
Targetunder $1,400
Fair$1,400 – $1,800
Walk awayover $2,100
23 sales this month, $1,100 to $2,400, middle $1,625. Raw is a 39% shot at $6,001 against a $1,795 consolation; under $1,400 and centred it pays well. Make sure it is the Refractor: the base card sells for $300 and gets titled the same.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
The flagship of a category that just repriced: 47 sales in thirty days at three to twenty times last year's prices, and the buyers are still there every day
Card one of the first Disney Chrome set, on the character; the parallels (Blue /75 at $17,877, Diamond PSA 9 at $44,999) say the top of this market is a long way up
A 39% gem rate and a $4,376 raw-to-10 gap on a card that still sells raw daily
Liquid at every grade with the 9 and the raw priced to trade; you can get in or out inside a week
AGAINST
Twenty-fold in a year, ten-fold in one month. September is the first month lower than the last at every grade
An unnumbered Refractor with 517 graded and raw copies surfacing daily from $80 binders; the 10 column will grow fast at these prices
The 9 is only $170 over raw: six in ten submissions come back a card worth what they started as, minus $100 of fees
The 10s are listed a third over the market, and the base non-Refractor card gets titled as this one at $300
THE VERDICT
Holding a raw copy? Grade it if it is centred, and sell the 9 if that is what comes back. Four in ten are a $6,001 card; the miss is worth $1,795, about what you hold now after the fee. Holding a 10? Sell one into this market if you own more than one; hold the last one, because the category has been repriced and the flagship does not go back to $400. Buying a 10? $5,200 to $6,000, bidding, and be patient: September is printing lower than August. Buying a 9? Under $1,700. Buying raw? Under $1,400, centred, and confirm it is the Refractor.
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