MARKET PILLAR · MEWTWOData through Sep 20, 2026 · real data
Mewtwo Destined Rivals SIR
2025 Pokémon Scarlet & Violet · Destined Rivals · Special Illustration Rare #231/182 · Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
The liquid one · 57% gem rate · sliding since spring
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
25/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 25 of 25. 1,095 sales in 90 days, 383 in 30, 97 in the last week. A PSA 10 sells four times a day, a raw copy six. There is no card on this site easier to price or move.
Grading payoff
12/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 12 of 20. A 10 is worth 2.5× raw and 57% of submissions get there. The miss is a 9 worth $410, the same as raw, so a $40 fee buys a 57% shot at $610 of upside. Good odds, small stakes.
Scarcity
3/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 3 of 20. 32,152 graded copies, 16,758 PSA 10s, and the set is still in print. Hundreds more get slabbed every week. This is the least scarce card on the site, by a mile.
Price trend
6/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 6 of 15. PSA 10 on eBay: $1,158 in January, $1,422 in May, $1,036 in September, down every month since May. At the houses the slide is the same: $1,352 in June, $990 in September. Raw and PSA 9 fell with it.
Price vs similar cards
12/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 12 of 20. At Fanatics Weekly the Mewtwo SIR 10 ($930) sells for 2.3× Cynthia's Garchomp SIR 10 ($396) and 2.7× Ethan's Ho-Oh SIR 10 ($342). The set's chase card at 2.5× the set's second card is normal for Pokémon.
The most-traded card in the hobby right now. Card Ladder logs 1,095 sales of this card in 90 days, about twelve a day, so this report prices the ladder on one week: 88 sales, Sep 13 to 21, 2026. A PSA 10 is $1,025. A raw copy is $415 and a PSA 9 is $410, which is the same number. The 10 peaked near $1,400 in April and May and has slid every month since; PSA has graded 29,135 of these and 16,758 of them are 10s.
PSA 10 7-Day Median
$1,025
•25 sales Sep 13-21
•eBay $1,030
•Fanatics $930
PSA 10 Since May Peak
-29%
$1,479 guide in Apr 2026 to $1,045 now
Raw 7-Day Median
$415
•40 sales
•PSA 9 sells for $410
Total Graded Pop
32,152
•PSA 29,135
•BGS 2,001
•CGC 993
•SGC 23
PSA Gem Rate
57.5%
•16,758 tens
•8,730 nines
Sales in 90 Days Card Ladder
1,095
•$150 and up
•383 in 30 days
•97 this week
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on one week (Sep 13-21, 2026) because it sells twelve times a day.
PSA 10
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 7 DAYS
$1,025
eBay $1,030 · Fanatics Weekly $930 · $900 to $1,214
is what a raw copy sells for over a PSA 9. A 9 on this card is a raw card that already lost its coin flip
PSA 9
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 7 DAYS
$410
eBay $385 to $470 · Fanatics $372 to $396
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a day
9 sales in 7 days · 7% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
8,730
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICECGC 10 Pristine · 208 exist · $960 (3 sales at Fanatics, Sep 13 and 20, 2026): PSA 10 moneyBGS 10 Pristine · 401 exist · $11,100 (Fanatics Weekly, Sep 6, 2026), a one-off; 32 Black Labels existTAG 10 · $1,220 (eBay, Sep 14, 2026)CGC 10 · 405 exist · $492 (3 sales): raw money in a slabPSA 8 · 2,557 exist · $360 (Fanatics, Sep 14, 2026), under raw
PSA 10 ÷ Raw
2.5×
with a 57% chance of getting there
Raw ÷ PSA 9
1.01×
a 9 is worth exactly a raw copy
Mewtwo ÷ Garchomp (SIR PSA 10)
2.3×
Cynthia's Garchomp #232: $396 at Fanatics
CGC 10 Pristine ÷ PSA 10
0.94×
CGC's top label is accepted at par here
What the auction houses change.Fanatics Weekly is a real second market for this card, and it prices a hair under eBay. This week: 3 PSA 10s at Fanatics ($930 middle) against 22 on eBay ($1,030). Since May, Fanatics has sold a PSA 10 almost every week: $1,350 to $1,560 in June, $1,110 to $1,260 in July, $990 to $1,020 in August, $990 in September. Fanatics also moved the oddities: a BGS 10 Pristine for $11,100 (Sep 6) and CGC 10 Pristines at $930 to $990. eBay is where the raw copies and the volume are. Sell a 10 on either; there is no premium to chase.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies so far: 57% came back a 10, 30% a 9. We start at 57%.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
Prices are the last 7 days, every venue. Auction-house prices are Fanatics Weekly, Sep 13 to 20, 2026.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills by declared value. A raw copy declared at $420 sits in a $40 tier; a 10 worth $1,000 moves up one tier, so we add $35.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
17-month arc · PSA 10
Price History
Released at $2,900, halved in a month, bottomed at $1,000 in the summer of 2025, climbed back to $1,479 by April 2026 and has given back a third since. Raw and PSA 9 sat on top of each other the whole way.
PSA 10 average eBay sale and sold count from Terapeak (counts are a floor: the 600-record cap); auction-house column is Fanatics Weekly and ALT middle price and count from Card Ladder. *September through the 20th.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
57.5%
9
30.0%
8
8.8%
≤7
3.7%
29,135 graded by PSA, the biggest PSA population of any card on this site. 57% are 10s; the textured SIR foil scratches, and 8s are common.
BY GRADER
PSA
29,135
16,758 tens · 57.5%
BGS
2,001
32 Black Label · 401 Pristine · 1,013 at 9.5
CGC
993
208 Pristine · 405 tens
SGC
23
2 tens
A PSA card: 91% of all graded copies. Another 2,140 gems exist in German, Italian, French and Spanish; they are different cards and sell for less.
SUPPLY: OPEN, WIDE OPEN
Destined Rivals is in print, sealed product is everywhere, and raw copies sell six times a day. The PSA population grows by hundreds a week and 57% of them are 10s. There is no scarcity story here and there will not be one for years. Estimated value of all slabbed copies at today's prices: about $24.1M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$55K changed hands across 88 sales in one week, Sep 13 to 21, 2026.
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
47%
30%
16%
47%of dollars · PSA 10
7%of dollars · PSA 9
30%of dollars · Raw
16%of dollars · Everything else
EBAY
$45K
83% of the week's money · every raw copy, most 10s
AUCTION HOUSES
$9K
17% of the week's money · Fanatics Weekly: 3 PSA 10s, the CGC Pristines
SALES THIS WEEK, BY VENUE
73eBay15Fanatics Weekly0ALT0Goldin0Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest PSA 10 listed is $1,030 against a week of sales at $1,025. The cheapest PSA 9 asks $448 against $410, and the cheapest raw $300 against $415. Listings sit right on top of the market. With this much volume there is no spread to exploit: pay the going rate or wait a day.
The comps
Same Set, Other SIRs
DESTINED RIVALS SIR · PSA 10 · FANATICS WEEKLY
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231
$930
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231
$960
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231
$1,020
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 6, 2026
Cynthia's Garchomp ex #232
$384
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Cynthia's Garchomp ex #232
$396
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Cynthia's Garchomp ex #232
$408
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 6, 2026
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex #230
$336
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex #230
$348
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Every Destined Rivals SIR PSA 10 sold at the houses in the last two weeks. Mewtwo is the set at 2.3× the next card. All three drifted lower week over week; the whole set is cooling together, which says this is a Pokémon-wide tide and not a Mewtwo problem.
The tape
Every sale this week
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 88 SALES
All venues, all grades, Sep 13 to 21, 2026, $150 and up: 88 of 97 rows (same-day overflow past Card Ladder's page size is not retrievable). 2 rows excluded: two 'raw' rows at PSA 10 prices, almost certainly slabs with no grade in the title.
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 21, 2026
BGS 9
$415
eBay
Sep 21, 2026
PSA 10
$1,095
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$961
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$960
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$957
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$950
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$940
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$935
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$930
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 10 Pristine
$930
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$900
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
BGS 9.5
$800
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$471
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$425
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 10
$408
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$405
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$396
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$340
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$380
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$340
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$1,070
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$646
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$521
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$450
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$390
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$350
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 10
$1,025
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
CGC 9
$479
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$450
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$420
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,035
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$420
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$390
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$383
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,200
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,050
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,035
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
CGC 10
$500
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$474
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$447
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$425
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$420
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 9
$410
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$385
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 9
$385
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$1,050
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$1,025
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 10
$950
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
TAG 9
$503
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 9
$470
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 9
$440
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 9
$435
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$430
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$429
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$420
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$395
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$175
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 10
$1,214
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 10
$990
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$495
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$420
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$400
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 10
$1,025
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$440
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,075
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$440
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$410
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$410
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 9
$410
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 8
$360
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 14, 2026
TAG 10
$1,220
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,075
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,036
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 10 Pristine
$990
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 10
$960
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 10 Pristine
$960
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 10
$492
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
BGS 9.5
$468
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
RAW
$425
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 9
$384
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 9
$372
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC AUTH
$336
Fanatics Weekly
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 10
STEAL
under $950
Below the week's middle; Fanatics sold one at $900 on Sep 20
TARGET
$950 – $1,050
Where the week cleared: $1,025 middle, twenty sales between $950 and $1,075
FAIR
$1,050 – $1,150
The top of the week: $1,095, $1,200, $1,214
STRETCHED
$1,150 – $1,300
July money. The trend is down; there is no reason to pay last quarter's price
WALK AWAY
over $1,300
May and June money. Four a day sell for $300 less
PSA 9
Targetunder $390
Fair$390 – $440
Walk awayover $480
9 sales this week, $372 to $470. A 9 sells for raw money. Buy one only to own the picture; never to grade or flip.
RAW
Targetunder $400
Fair$400 – $450
Walk awayover $520
40 sales this week, $340 to $646. Buying raw to grade is a 57% shot at $1,025 for a $40 fee. Under $400, and only with a loupe on the foil.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
Perfect liquidity: 1,095 sales in 90 days. You can buy or sell at any hour at a price everyone knows
The chase card of a popular set, at 2.5× the next card in it. Mewtwo and Team Rocket is a permanent Pokémon story
Cheap to grade and quick to sell: a $40 fee, a 57% gem rate, and a PSA 10 that sells four times a day
Sliding, not crashing: down 5% to 10% a month since May, on steady volume. Pullbacks this orderly usually end
AGAINST
16,758 PSA 10s and climbing. The set is in print. Supply is unlimited for the foreseeable future
Down every month since May on eBay and at the houses. Nobody knows where the floor is; last summer it was $1,000
A 9 is dead money: $410 against $415 raw. 43% of submissions come back that way
The whole set is cooling together (Garchomp and Ho-Oh SIRs slid too). This is a Pokémon-wide tide, and tides go out
THE VERDICT
Holding a clean raw copy? Grade it. A $40 fee for a 57% shot at $1,025; the miss gives you back a card worth what you started with. Holding a 10? Sell whenever you like; it clears at $1,025 today, and the trend says today beats next month. Buying a 10? $950 to $1,050, this week, not a dollar of July's price. Buying a 9? Only at raw money. This is a card you trade, not a card you hold: the pop is 16,758 tens and growing.
WANT YOUR OWN REPORTS?
Get this same breakdown privately, built around your exact card, your grade and what you paid. Starting at $25.