MARKET PILLAR · GENGARData through Sep 21, 2026 · real data
Mega Gengar ex Ascended Heroes SIR
2026 Pokémon Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes · Special Illustration Rare #284/217 · English
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
New release · 63% gem rate · down 43% since May
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
25/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 25 of 25. 87 sales over $150 in nine days: a PSA 10 two to three times a day, a raw copy three times a day, a 9 twice a day, plus CGC, BGS, TAG and ACE slabs. eBay clears most of it; Fanatics Weekly, Goldin and ALT each sold one this week. Nothing to wait for.
Grading payoff
15/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 15 of 20. A 10 is worth 2.2× raw and 63% get there. The miss, a 9, sells for $852: raw money minus the fee. A 63/37 coin where heads doubles and tails costs $100. Better than Pikachu's by a point because the raw copy is $40 cheaper and the gem rate a point higher.
Scarcity
1/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 1 of 20. 16,879 graded in seventeen weeks, 9,225 PSA 10s, more PSA 10s than Pikachu has, and the set is in print and being opened by the case. Nothing is scarce and nothing will be for at least a year.
Price trend
3/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 3 of 15. PSA 10 on eBay, weekly: $3,214 in the release week, $2,750 by mid-June, $2,225 in early August, $1,842 this week. Down in almost every week since May. The 9 fell from $1,300 to $852 alongside it. The slope is flattening (down 4% in September so far) but has not turned.
Price vs similar cards
10/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 10 of 20. The set's number one, Pikachu ex #276, sold at $2,018 in a PSA 10 and $876 in a 9 the same week; Gengar is $1,900 and $852. A 6% discount to Pikachu in the 10 and none in the 9 or raw. Gengar is the better picture by most collectors' vote and is priced like the second card in the set. Fair, with a little room.
The second chase of the newest set, seventeen weeks after release, and the chart is the same slide as Pikachu's. A PSA 10 averaged about $3,200 in the release week (late May 2026), $2,750 in mid-June, $2,350 in July, and sold for $1,900 this week. PSA has graded 14,556 and gemmed 63%. A raw copy sells for $862; a PSA 9 sells for $852. Same number, because every raw copy is bought to be graded and a 9 is the copy that lost. Gengar trails Pikachu by about 6% in a 10 and matches it everywhere else.
PSA 10 7-Day Median
$1,900
•22 sales Sep 13-21
•eBay $1,890
•houses $1,990
PSA 10 Since Release
-43%
$3,214 in the release week (late May) to $1,842 this week, eBay
PSA 9 7-Day Median
$852
•18 sales
•raw $862
•PSA 8 $770
Total Graded Pop
16,879
•PSA 14,556
•BGS 1,688
•CGC 635
•in 17 weeks
PSA Gem Rate
63.4%
•9,225 tens
•4,893 nines
Sales in 9 Days Card Ladder
104
•$150 and up
•about 12 a day
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on nine days (Sep 13-21, 2026) because it sells twelve times a day and falls every week.
from a PSA 10 to a CGC 10 Pristine. Two sales; treat as PSA 10 money
PSA 10
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$1,900
eBay $1,890 · houses $1,990 · $1,585 to $2,550
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
2 to 3 a day
22 sales in 9 days · 39% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
9,225
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$732
1.63×
from a BGS 9.5 to a PSA 10
BGS 9.5
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$1,168
$1,100 and $1,235 · eBay, Sep 14 and 17, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
A few a week
2 sales in 9 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
877
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$168
1.17×
from a CGC 10 to a BGS 9.5
CGC 10
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$1,000
$840 to $1,086 · eBay and Fanatics
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
A few a week
3 sales in 9 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
331
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$138
1.16×
from raw to a CGC 10
RAW
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$862
$650 to $1,553 · eBay
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 3 a day
28 sales in 9 days · 24% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
▲ +$10
1.01×
is what a RAW copy sells for over a PSA 9. Same money; the 9 is the copy that lost
PSA 9
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$852
$660 to $900 · eBay, Fanatics, ALT
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a day
18 sales in 9 days · 14% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
4,893
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$82
1.11×
from a PSA 8 to a PSA 9
PSA 8
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, SEP 13-21
$770
$660 to $811 · eBay and Fanatics
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
A few a week
3 sales in 9 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
332
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEACE 10 / TAG 10 · ACE 10 $815 to $1,203 (three, eBay, Sep 13-20) · TAG 10 $1,750 (eBay, Sep 14, 2026): ACE sells for raw money, TAG for BGS 9.5-to-PSA 10 moneyCGC 9 · $630 to $660 (Fanatics, Sep 13-20, 2026): PSA 8 moneyMBA-stamped PSA 10 · $1,980 (Fanatics, Sep 13): the stamp added nothing this weekOther languages · German (pop 195), and $4,000 foreign-language 'PSA 10' listings on eBay. Check the language line before paying English money
PSA 10 ÷ PSA 9
2.2×
9,225 tens against 4,893 nines
PSA 10 ÷ Raw
2.2×
with a 63% chance of getting there
Raw ÷ PSA 9
1.01×
raw is worth a 9 because raw might be a 10
This Week ÷ Release Week (PSA 10)
0.57×
$3,214 to $1,842 on eBay
What the auction houses change.The houses paid a little more this week. 4 PSA 10s sold off eBay, at Fanatics Weekly ($2,010 and $2,000), Goldin ($1,952) and Fanatics with an MBA stamp ($1,980): a median of $1,990 against eBay's $1,890 on 18 sales. That is a 5% house premium on four sales, inside the week's $1,585 to $2,550 spread, so do not plan around it. Fanatics is where the CGC slabs clear (both CGC 10 Pristines, a CGC 10, the CGC 9s) and ALT sold a PSA 9 at $743, under eBay. Sell where you can list fastest; next week's price is lower.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies so far: 63% came back a 10, 34% a 9. We start at 60%.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
Prices are Sep 13-21, every venue. Auction-house prices are Fanatics Weekly, Goldin and ALT, same window.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills by declared value. A raw copy declared at $850 sits in a $75 tier; a 10 worth $1,900 moves up a tier, so we add $75. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
Five months · PSA 10
Price History
The whole life of the card: $3,200 at release, $2,500 a month later, $1,950 now. Down every month. The 9 and the raw sit on top of each other underneath, which is what a 63% gem rate does to a 9.
PSA 10 average eBay sale and sold count from Terapeak (600-record cap; one lot-inflated August week dropped); auction-house column is Fanatics Weekly, Goldin and ALT from Card Ladder. *September through the 21st. Released the last week of May.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
63.4%
9
33.6%
8
2.3%
≤7
0.7%
14,556 graded by PSA in seventeen weeks. Six in ten are a 10, a third are 9s, and almost nothing below an 8. Pack-fresh textured SIRs; the 9s are centering and the odd silvering edge.
BY GRADER
PSA
14,556
9,225 tens · 63.4%
BGS
1,688
20 Black Label · 277 Pristine · 877 at 9.5
CGC
635
132 Pristine · 331 tens
SGC
0
none yet
A PSA card: 86% of all graded copies. A CGC 10 sells for raw money plus $140 and a BGS 9.5 for 60% of a PSA 10; a CGC 10 Pristine sells for PSA 10 money and only Beckett's Pristine label beats it.
SUPPLY: IN PRINT
Ascended Heroes released in late May 2026 and is being printed and opened by the case. 16,879 graded copies in seventeen weeks, more than Pikachu (9,225 PSA 10s against Pikachu's 7,613), because Gengar is the card people pull and send. Every raw sale on this page is a copy headed to a grader. Estimated value of all slabbed copies at today's prices: about $25.1M, and falling.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$106K changed hands across 87 sales in nine days, Sep 13 to 21, 2026.
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
39%
14%
24%
23%
39%of dollars · PSA 10
14%of dollars · PSA 9
24%of dollars · Raw
23%of dollars · Everything else
EBAY
$86K
81% of the money · every raw, most 9s, 18 of 22 PSA 10s
AUCTION HOUSES
$21K
19% of the money · Fanatics Weekly, Goldin, ALT: 4 PSA 10s, the CGC slabs, a BGS 10 Pristine
SALES SEP 13-21, BY VENUE
72eBay13Fanatics Weekly1ALT1Goldin0Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest verified English PSA 10 listed is $1,825 against a week of sales at $1,900: under the market, and the first sign of sellers giving up. PSA 9s ask $850 against $852; raw copies ask $1,050 against $862, and two of the cheapest 'PSA 10' listings are raw copies titled 'PSA 10 candidate'. Listings sit on or under the market, and the market moves down every week. Bid under the last sale. The $4,000 'PSA 10' listings are foreign-language prints.
The comps
Same Set, the Number One Card
ASCENDED HEROES SIR · SEP 13-21
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Mega Gengar ex #284 · PSA 10
$1,900
7-day median · eBay, Fanatics, Goldin
Mega Gengar ex #284 · PSA 9
$852
7-day median · eBay, Fanatics, ALT
Mega Gengar ex #284 · Raw
$862
7-day median · eBay
Pikachu ex #276 · BGS 10 Pristine
$3,000
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Pikachu ex #276 · PSA 10 (MBA)
$2,250
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Pikachu ex #276 · PSA 10
$2,100
eBay · Sep 18, 2026
Pikachu ex #276 · PSA 10
$1,920
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Pikachu ex #276 · CGC 10
$1,020
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Pikachu ex #276 · PSA 9
$850
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 18, 2026
The two chase cards of Ascended Heroes, same nine days. Pikachu's PSA 10 median was $2,018 to Gengar's $1,900; the 9s ($876 against $852) and the raws ($905 against $862) are the same card. Both slide together week over week: a set-wide decay, the normal shape of a new Pokémon release.
The tape
Every sale, Sep 13-21
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 87 SALES
All venues, all grades, Sep 13 to 21, 2026, $150 and up: 87 of 104 rows (same-day overflow past Card Ladder's page size is not retrievable).
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 21, 2026
RAW
$800
eBay
Sep 21, 2026
RAW
$711
eBay
Sep 21, 2026
CGC 10 Pristine
$2,175
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 21, 2026
PSA 10
$1,999
eBay
Sep 21, 2026
RAW
$1,200
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
ACE 10
$980
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$950
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$880
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$875
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$850
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 10
$840
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$840
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$810
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 8
$770
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 9
$750
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 8
$660
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 9
$630
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$2,550
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$2,010
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$1,952
Goldin
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$1,900
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 10 Pristine
$1,860
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 10
$1,585
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 10
$1,086
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 9
$838
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 9
$825
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$819
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 8
$811
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
RAW
$750
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 10
$1,956
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 10
$1,880
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
PSA 10
$1,800
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
ACE 10
$1,203
eBay
Sep 19, 2026
CGC 10
$1,000
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$900
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$900
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 9
$900
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$850
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,800
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 10
$1,795
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
RAW
$1,100
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$950
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 9
$860
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$800
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$750
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 9
$743
ALT
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$710
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$650
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
BGS 10 Pristine
$3,200
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$1,900
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$1,675
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$1,553
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
BGS 9.5
$1,235
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 9
$826
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 9
$868
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 10
$2,000
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 10
$1,925
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 9
$885
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 9
$875
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$875
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 9
$875
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 9
$860
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 9
$850
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$825
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$765
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 10
$1,826
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 10
$1,790
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$895
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$790
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,900
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,800
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
TAG 10
$1,750
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
BGS 9.5
$1,100
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 9
$855
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$820
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,995
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$1,995
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$1,050
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$1,050
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$1,000
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 9
$861
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
ACE 10
$815
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 9
$660
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 9
$660
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 9
$630
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
BGS 10 Pristine
$3,000
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 10
$1,980
Fanatics Weekly
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 10
STEAL
under $1,750
Below all but one PSA 10 sale of the week ($1,585 and $1,675 were the floor)
TARGET
$1,750 – $1,900
Where the week cleared: $1,900 middle, $1,790 to $1,925 for eleven of 22 sales
FAIR
$1,900 – $2,050
The top of the week and the house prices: $1,952 to $2,010
STRETCHED
$2,050 – $2,300
August money. The card has not held a price for two weeks running since May
WALK AWAY
over $2,300
July money. The $2,550 sale this week was one buyer, not the market
PSA 9
Targetunder $820
Fair$820 – $900
Walk awayover $950
18 sales this week, $660 to $900. A 9 sells for what raw sells for; buy it only to own the picture. Do not grade a 9 hoping for a 10 on a regrade.
RAW
Targetunder $780
Fair$780 – $900
Walk awayover $1,000
28 sales this week, $650 to $1,553, middle $862. Raw is a 63% shot at $1,900; under $780 and centered it pays, and the $650 to $750 sales were the bargains. The $1,200 to $1,553 raws were bought as sure 10s by people who think the slide is over.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
Perfect liquidity: 104 sales in nine days, a PSA 10 two to three times a day, at a price the whole market agrees on
A 63% gem rate and a raw-to-10 gap of $1,038: grading pays even in a falling market if you buy the raw copy right
The better picture of the set's two chases by most collectors' vote, priced 6% under the other one
The slide is flattening: down 9% in August, 4% so far in September, after 15% months in June and July
AGAINST
Down every month since release, 43% in seventeen weeks, and the set is still in print. There is no floor yet
16,879 graded in four months and 9,225 PSA 10s, more than Pikachu. Supply grows faster than any modern card on this site
A 9 sells for raw money, an ACE 10 for raw money, a CGC 10 for raw money plus $140. Only the PSA 10 carries a premium, and it is shrinking
Every raw copy sold this week is headed to PSA. The 10 column adds hundreds a week until people stop
THE VERDICT
Holding a raw copy? Grade it, quickly. Six in ten come back a $1,900 card, and that number is lower next month than this one. Holding a 10? Sell it this week at $1,900, on eBay or at Fanatics Weekly, which paid $2,000 this week; the chart has not printed a higher week since May, and holding a new-release chase through its first year has cost people half their money on every set since 2023. Buying a 10? Only under $1,750, and only if you want the card; the price will be lower in a month. Buying raw to grade? Under $780, centered, and send it the same day. Buying a 9? No.
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