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CARD IMAGE
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MARKET PILLAR · LUGIAData through Sep 20, 2026 · real data

Lugia
Neo Genesis 1st Ed

2000 Pokémon Neo Genesis · 1st Edition Holo #9/111 · the hardest chase in vintage Pokémon
79
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
Vintage grail · 0.6% gem rate · every rung doubled this year
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
20/25
Grading payoff
18/20
Scarcity
15/20
Price trend
14/15
Price vs similar cards
12/20

The card that cannot be gemmed. 45 PSA 10s exist out of 7,190 graded, a 0.6% rate, and one sold this month: $360,000 at Fanatics Weekly on Aug 30, 2026. Below it the ladder is deep and busy: a PSA 9 is $18,426 and sells twice a week, a PSA 8 is $5,655 and sells every three days, a PSA 7 $3,490, a raw copy about $1,721. Every rung has more than doubled since January. A CGC 10 Pristine brought $128,000 on eBay the day after the PSA 10.

PSA 9
30-Day Median
$18,426
  • •9 sales
  • •eBay $17,713
  • •ALT, Goldin, Fanatics $18,750
PSA 9
9-Month Move
+275%
$3,055 guide in Dec 2025 to $11,450 now
PSA 8
30-Day Median
$5,655
  • •11 sales
  • •eBay $5,478
  • •houses $5,760
Total Graded Pop
10,710
  • •PSA 7,190
  • •BGS 2,033
  • •CGC 1,424
  • •SGC 63
PSA Gem Rate
0.6%
  • •45 tens
  • •611 nines
  • •1,825 eights
90-Day Sales
Card Ladder
299
  • •$1,000 and up
  • •105 in the last 30 days
The spine of the report

The Grade Ladder

Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on the last 30 days, every venue; it sells four times a day.

PSA 10
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$360,000
one sale: Fanatics Weekly, Aug 30, 2026 · guide had it at $61,000 to $74,000 since April
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a year
1 sale in 90 days · 33% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
45
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$232,000
2.8×
from a CGC 10 Pristine to the one PSA 10. Two labels, one grade, $232,000 apart
CGC 10 PRISTINE
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$128,000
one sale: eBay, Aug 31, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a year
1 sale in 90 days · 12% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
7
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$105,788
5.8×
from a BGS 9.5 to a CGC 10 Pristine
BGS 9.5
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$22,212
$22,000 and $22,424 (ALT, Sep 3 and 4, 2026)
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a month
2 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
159
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$3,786
1.21×
from a PSA 9 to a BGS 9.5
PSA 9
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$18,426
eBay $17,713 · houses $18,750 · $16,000 to $22,320
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a week
9 sales in 30 days · 15% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
611
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$1,532
1.09×
from a CGC 10 to a PSA 9. CGC's 10 is worth a PSA 9
CGC 10
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$16,894
$15,000 (Aug 28) and $18,788 (Sep 1, 2026), eBay · CGC 9.5 $14,000
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a month
2 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
90
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$9,184
2.2×
from a BGS 9 to a CGC 10
BGS 9
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$7,710
$7,000 to $12,999 · eBay and ALT
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a week
9 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
724
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$2,055
1.36×
from a PSA 8 to a BGS 9
PSA 8
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$5,655
eBay $5,478 · ALT and Fanatics $5,760 · a PSA 8.5 brought $7,500
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 3 days
11 sales in 30 days · 7% of all dollars (with 8.5)
HOW MANY EXIST
1,825
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$2,166
1.62×
from a PSA 7 to a PSA 8. The busiest step on the card
PSA 7
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$3,490
$2,800 to $3,840 · eBay and Fanatics
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 3 days
10 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
1,607
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$890
1.34×
from a PSA 6 to a PSA 7
PSA 6
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$2,599
$2,400 to $2,775
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a week
7 sales in 30 days · PSA 7 and below: 6% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
1,091
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$878
1.51×
from raw to a PSA 6. Even the low grade beats an unslabbed copy
RAW
SELLS DAILY
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,721
$1,000 to $7,000; the $5,000-plus raws are near-mint copies sold by people who know it
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a day
26 sales in 30 days · 6% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICECGC 9 · 255 exist · $6,700 (3 sales, $6,000 to $6,750): PSA 8 moneyBGS 8.5 / CGC 8.5 · $3,960 to $5,000 / $4,560: PSA 7 moneyPSA 5 / PSA 4 · 750 / 437 exist · $2,493 / $1,550PSA 1 / PSA 2 · $1,200 to $2,888: the worst copies sell for raw money and moreUnverified rows · a 'PSA 6' at $4,250, a 'PSA 6' at $1,181 and a raw at $8,500 are in the sale list but left out of the ladder
PSA 10 ÷ PSA 9
20×
45 tens against 611 nines; one sale
PSA 9 ÷ PSA 8
3.3×
the step everyone is chasing
PSA 8 ÷ Raw
3.3×
raw $1,721; most raw copies are 6s and 7s
Lugia 9 ÷ Charizard 9
0.30×
1st Edition Charizard PSA 9: $60,550 (seed 12)
What the auction houses change. The houses own the top and match eBay everywhere else. The PSA 10 ($360,000) was Fanatics Weekly; both BGS 9.5s ($22,000, $22,424) were ALT; 3 of 9 PSA 9s sold at ALT, Goldin or Fanatics at $18,750 against $17,713 on eBay, and eBay printed the two highest 9s ($19,024, $22,320). PSA 8s: 7 at ALT and Fanatics at $5,760, 4 on eBay at $5,478. The CGC 10 Pristine ($128,000) sold on eBay. Consign a 9.5 or better; a 9 or an 8 sells for the same money on either side.
Interactive

Grade It or Skip It

Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.

YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies ever: 0.6% came back a 10, 8% a 9, 25% an 8. We start the 10 at 1%. Set it to 0 to see the trade without the lottery ticket; it still pays.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
PSA 10 is the one Fanatics sale. PSA 9 is the 30-day middle. 'PSA 8 or lower' is the pop-weighted middle of grades 1 to 8 ($3,525), because that is where a raw survivor lands.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills by declared value. A raw copy declared at $1,700 sits in a $150 tier; a 9 moves up a tier and a 10 moves up four, so we add $1,000 on a 10.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
25-month arc · PSA 9, 8 and 7

Price History

Flat for a year and a half, then everything at once: the PSA 9 guide went $3,055 in December to $11,450 now, the 8 from $2,321 to $5,289, the 7 from $1,475 to $3,602. The PSA 10 has two sales a year and is left off the chart; its guide jumped from $8,000 to $74,000 in April and printed $360,000 in August.

PSA 9 (price guide)PSA 9 monthly middle sale, our dataPSA 8 (price guide)PSA 7 (price guide)
$0$3K$6K$9K$12KSep 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025Mar 2026Sep 2026$3,055 · Dec 2025$11,450 · Sep 2026
2026
EBAY · SALES (PSA 9)
MoM
AUCTION HOUSES
GAP
Jan
$7,613 · 7
—
— · 0
—
Feb
$8,465 · 4
+11%
— · 0
—
Mar
$7,027 · 9
−17%
— · 0
—
Apr
$13,531 · 5
+93%
— · 0
—
May
$12,829 · 5
−5%
— · 0
—
Jun
$8,050 · 2
−37%
— · 0
—
Jul
— · 0
—
— · 0
—
Aug
— · 0
—
$18,000 · 1
—
Sep*
$17,713 · 6
+120%
$18,830 · 2
+6%
PSA 9 middle sale price and number of sales. Aug 22 to Sep 20 from Card Ladder, every venue; Jan to Jun eBay from Terapeak (average sale, sold count; July's $1,663 average is a mislabel and is dropped). *September through the 20th.
Census

The Grading Picture

PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
9 or 10
9.1%
8 / 8.5
26.8%
7 / 7.5
22.6%
≤6
41.4%
7,190 graded by PSA. Fewer than one in ten is a 9 or better; the Neo Genesis holo foil scratches and the card was cut off-center by the sheet. A 10 is one in 160.
BY GRADER
PSA
7,190
45 tens · 611 nines · 0.6%
BGS
2,033
4 Pristine · 159 at 9.5 · 724 at 9
CGC
1,424
7 Pristine · 90 tens · 37 at 9.5
SGC
63
9 nines
A PSA card: 67% of all graded copies. CGC has 90 tens to PSA's 45, and a CGC 10 sells for a PSA 9 price; only CGC's Pristine label ($128,000) reaches toward the PSA 10.
SUPPLY: CLOSED
Printed once in 2000. 10,710 graded copies. Raw copies still surface daily (26 sold over $1,000 in 30 days) and almost all of them land between PSA 4 and PSA 8; the 9 column adds a handful a month and the 10 column adds one or two a year. Estimated value of all PSA copies at today's prices, using the guide's $61,000 for the 10 rather than the one $360,000 sale: about $37M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure

Where the Money Is

$1.09M changed hands across 105 sales in the last 30 days. Two of them were $488,000 of it.

SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
33%
12%
15%
21%
33% of dollars · PSA 10
12% of dollars · CGC 10 Pristine
15% of dollars · PSA 9
7% of dollars · PSA 8
6% of dollars · PSA 7 and below
21% of dollars · BGS and CGC slabs
6% of dollars · Raw
EBAY
$530K
49% of the money · the CGC Pristine, every raw, most 7s and 8s, the two highest 9s
AUCTION HOUSES
$559K
51% of the money · the PSA 10, both BGS 9.5s, 3 of 9 PSA 9s
SALES IN 30 DAYS, BY VENUE
78 eBay19 Fanatics Weekly7 ALT1 Goldin0 Heritage
THE MOOD
The one real PSA 9 listing asks $19,024 against a 30-day middle of $18,426. PSA 8s ask $5,500 against $5,655; PSA 7s $3,780 against $3,490; PSA 6s $2,500 against $2,599. Every rung is listed at the market or under it. In a run like this the asks lag the sales; the 'PSA 10' listings at $3,650 to $5,100 and the $39,000 BGS 9 are mislabeled or dreaming.
The comps

The Vintage Peers

VINTAGE POKÉMON GRAILS · SAME GRADE
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Lugia Neo Genesis 1st · PSA 9
$18,426
30-day middle · eBay, ALT, Goldin, Fanatics
Lugia Neo Genesis 1st · PSA 8
$5,655
30-day middle · eBay, ALT, Fanatics
Charizard Base 1st Ed Shadowless · PSA 9
$60,550
90-day middle · seed 12 report
Charizard Base 1st Ed Shadowless · PSA 8
$41,700
90-day middle · seed 12 report
Charizard Base 1st Ed Shadowless · PSA 7
$25,500
90-day middle · seed 12 report
Pichu Neo Genesis 1st · PSA 9
$1,321
ALT · Aug 20, 2026
Meganium Neo Genesis 1st · PSA 9
$432
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
Skarmory Neo Genesis 1st · PSA 9
$312
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Lugia against the only card above it and the cards beside it. In a PSA 9 it is 30% of a 1st Edition Charizard and 14× the next holo in its own set. The gap to Charizard has been closing all year; the gap to Pichu is the whole set.
The tape

Every sale on record

SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 108 SALES
All venues, all grades, Aug 22 to Sep 20, 2026, $1,000 and up: 105 sales plus 3 unverified rows shown at the end and left out of the ladder.
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 8
$6,900
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
BGS 8
$5,280
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 8.5
$4,560
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 7
$3,840
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 7
$3,240
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
PSA 6
$2,500
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$2,021
eBay
Sep 20, 2026
CGC 5.5
$1,890
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 20, 2026
RAW
$1,688
eBay
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 7
$3,800
eBay
Where to buy

The Buy Ladder

PSA 9
STEAL
under $16,500
Below every September PSA 9 sale; the last one under $17,000 was $16,000 on Sep 8
TARGET
$16,500 – $18,500
Where the houses cleared: ALT $18,750, Goldin $18,910, Fanatics $18,000; eBay $16,421 to $18,426
FAIR
$18,500 – $20,000
eBay's $19,024 (Sep 16) and the current ask
STRETCHED
$20,000 – $22,500
One sale ($22,320, Sep 5). The BGS 9.5 sells here
WALK AWAY
over $22,500
Nobody has paid it for a PSA 9. That is BGS 9.5 money
PSA 8
Targetunder $5,300
Fair$5,300 – $6,600
Walk awayover $7,500
11 sales in 30 days, $4,846 to $7,200; ALT's $4,846 to $5,280 are the floor. The busiest rung on the card and the one most raw copies become. A PSA 8.5 brought $7,500.
PSA 7
Targetunder $3,300
Fair$3,300 – $3,700
Walk awayover $4,000
10 sales, $2,800 to $3,840. The affordable version of the card that still looks like the $18,000 one from across the room.
RAW
Targetunder $1,500
Fair$1,500 – $2,300
Walk awayover $3,500
26 sales, $1,000 to $7,000, middle $1,721. A raw copy is a 4-to-8 ticket: a 6 pays $2,599, an 8 $5,655. The $5,000-plus raws were sold by people who had already graded it in their heads; do not pay them.
Every angle

The Case For and Against

FOR
Deep, liquid, and rising: 105 sales in 30 days at every grade, and every rung has doubled since January
The scarcest top in Pokémon: 45 PSA 10s in 26 years, 611 nines, and a holo that will not gem. The 9 is the realistic ceiling and it just printed $22,320
Grading a raw copy cannot lose: a 6 pays $2,599, a 7 $3,490, an 8 $5,655, against $1,721 raw
The number-two vintage Pokémon card at 30% of number one. Charizard closed that gap once; Lugia is closing it now
AGAINST
A 3× run in nine months on every rung. Vintage runs this fast have retraced before (2021), and September's PSA 9 highs are the top of the chart, not the middle
The $360,000 PSA 10 is one sale on one night. The guide had the 10 at $61,000 the same month; do not price anything off it
10,710 graded copies and raw ones surfacing daily. Below a 9 this is a common card; the price is demand
A CGC 10 sells for a PSA 9 price and a BGS 9 for a PSA 8 price. Crossing a non-PSA slab is a bet on a downgrade
THE VERDICT

Holding a raw copy? Grade it. Whatever comes back beats $1,721: a 6 is $2,599, an 8 is $5,655, a 9 is $18,426. Holding a 9? It just printed its highest prices ever; consign it to ALT or Goldin at $18,750 if you were going to sell, or hold the second-best vintage card in the hobby. Holding an 8? $5,655 on eBay or ALT, no difference. Buying a 9? $16,500 to $18,500, and never above $20,000; that is 9.5 money. Buying an 8? Under $5,300 at ALT. Buying raw? Under $1,500, and only with a scan of the holo under a light.

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FUTUREPSAGRADER RESEARCH · Data through Sep 20, 2026 · Not financial advice.