Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
6/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 6 of 25. 34 sales in nine months across ten different grades, 16 of them in the last 90 days. No single rung sells more than once a month. You will wait for the right copy, and the right buyer.
Grading payoff
16/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 16 of 20. A raw copy sells for about $13,500 to $18,000. A PSA 9 sells for $35,000 and two thirds of PSA submissions have come back a 9. Even a PSA 8 ($24,900) beats raw. The 10 is a lottery ticket at 15%, but you do not need it.
Scarcity
18/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 18 of 20. A 1996 refractor. 756 graded copies, 63 PSA 10s, and every year more of the survivors green. Supply is not just capped, it is shrinking in quality.
Price trend
12/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 12 of 15. PSA 9 went from about $18,800 in Dec 2025 to $30,000 in Feb 2026 and $35,000 now. BGS 9.5 went from $51,000 in March to $73,000 to $78,000 this summer. Steady, across every venue.
Price vs similar cards
10/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 10 of 20. The non-refractor Chrome #138 in PSA 10 sells for $16,498. A refractor PSA 9 costs 2.1× that, and a refractor PSA 10 costs 9× it. The refractor premium is enormous and fully priced.
The rookie refractor. 756 graded copies in thirty years, 63 PSA 10s, and one of those sold in the last nine months: $152,500 at Goldin on Jun 28, 2026. Below it the market lives at BGS 9.5 ($62,338) and PSA 9 ($35,000), and the PSA 9 price has nearly doubled since December. The catch is the chrome itself: it greens with age, and a copy that has not greened sells for more than its grade says it should.
PSA 9 Since Dec 2025
$35,000
•7 sales
•auction houses $33,950, eBay $35,000
PSA 9 9-Month Move
+86%
$18,770 in Dec 2025 to $35,000 now
BGS 9.5 Since Dec 2025
$62,338
•6 sales
•latest $73,200 Goldin, Sep 19, 2026
Total Graded Pop
756
•PSA 431
•BGS 311
•SGC 12
•CGC 2
PSA Gem Rate
14.6%
•63 tens
•288 nines
9-Month Volume All Grades
$1.39M
•34 sales
•eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, Heritage
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on every sale since Dec 20, 2025, because no rung sells often enough for a 30-day price.
PSA 10
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES SINCE DEC 2025
$152,500
one sale: Goldin, Jun 28, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
1 in nine months
1 sale since Dec 2025 · 28% of all dollars (with BGS 10)
HOW MANY EXIST
63
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$35,838
1.3×
from a BGS 10 to the one PSA 10 sale
BGS 10
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES SINCE DEC 2025
$116,662
$120,000 Fanatics Weekly Jun 19, 2026 · $113,323 Goldin Jan 3, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
2 in nine months
2 sales since Dec 2025 ·
HOW MANY EXIST
15
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$54,324
1.9×
from a BGS 9.5 to a BGS 10 Pristine
BGS 9.5
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES SINCE DEC 2025
$62,338
houses $73,200 · eBay $38,988
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 6 weeks
6 sales since Dec 2025 · 26% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
88
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$27,338
1.8×
from a PSA 9 to a BGS 9.5. The 9.5 is the real top of this market: it sells more often than either 10
PSA 9
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES SINCE DEC 2025
$35,000
houses $33,950 · eBay $35,000
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a month
7 sales since Dec 2025 · 18% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
288
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$10,100
1.4×
from a PSA 8 to a PSA 9. A one-grade step that adds more than the whole PSA 8 is worth
PSA 8 / 8.5
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES SINCE DEC 2025
$24,900
Heritage $28,060 Aug 23 · Fanatics 8.5 $24,900 Aug 28 · eBay $14,996 Aug 22
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 2 months
3 sales since Dec 2025 · price is a guide ·
HOW MANY EXIST
55
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEBGS 9 · 82 exist · $24,902 (Jun 18, 2026, ALT)PSA 7 · 15 exist · $45,600 (Aug 28, 2026, Fanatics Weekly, a no-greening copy)PSA 6 · 5 exist · $8,999 to $13,725 normally; $17,000 to $35,000 when advertised as no greeningBGS 7 to 8 · $14,642 to $17,273 · 4 salesSGC 6 to 7 · $15,005 and $25,300RAW · $13,500 (Jan 7, 2026) · treated by buyers as a 6 or 7 until graded
What the auction houses change.This is a house card. 19 of 34 sales since December were at Goldin, ALT, Fanatics Weekly or Heritage, and every sale above $45,000 was one of them: the PSA 10 ($152,500, Goldin), both BGS 10s ($120,000 Fanatics, $113,323 Goldin), and all five BGS 9.5s over $50,000. eBay is where the 6s, 7s and 8s trade, at $9,000 to $17,000. PSA 9 is the one rung that trades on both, and there the two agree: $33,950 at the houses, $35,000 on eBay, and the year's high print for a 9 ($44,910) was ALT. If you own a 9.5 or better, it does not belong on eBay. And the greening premium shows up at the houses too: a Fanatics Weekly buyer paid $45,600 for a PSA 7 and $35,000 for a PSA 6 in August, more than a PSA 9 on eBay, because the copies had not turned.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies ever: 15% came back a 10, 67% a 9. A raw copy today is a survivor that nobody graded in thirty years, so we start the 10 at 5%. The 9 is the real target.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
PSA 10 is the single Goldin sale. PSA 9 and PSA 8 are middle prices since Dec 2025. A no-greening copy can beat these numbers by a lot.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA prices grading by declared value. A raw copy declared at $15,000 sits in a $300 tier here, and a 10 worth $150,000 adds a large upcharge. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
22-month arc · PSA 9
Price History
The PSA 10 has one sale a year, so the chart follows the PSA 9, the grade that sets this card's price. Flat near $19,000 through 2025, then a step up in Feb 2026 and a climb ever since.
PSA 9 middle sale price and number of sales, Card Ladder plus Terapeak, every venue. *September through the 20th. Months with no sale show a dash. PSA 9 prices are level across venues; the houses own everything above it.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
14.6%
9
66.8%
8
12.8%
≤7
5.8%
431 graded by PSA. Two thirds are 9s. Only 15% are 10s, and a 10 has to have escaped greening for thirty years.
BY GRADER
PSA
431
63 tens · 14.6%
BGS
311
15 tens · 88 at 9.5 · 33.1%
SGC
12
1 ten
CGC
2
none above 8
Split card: 57% PSA, 41% Beckett. Beckett's 9.5 is a whole tier of this market on its own, and Beckett has issued 15 tens to PSA's 63.
SUPPLY: CAPPED AND SHRINKING
Nothing new is coming: the print run ended in 1997. Worse for supply, the refractor coating greens over time, so the number of clean copies falls every year while the graded count barely moves. Estimated value of all slabbed copies at today's prices: about $33M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$1.39M changed hands across 34 sales since Dec 20, 2025.
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
28%
26%
18%
28%
28%of dollars · PSA 10 and BGS 10
26%of dollars · BGS 9.5
18%of dollars · PSA 9
28%of dollars · PSA 8 and below, other
EBAY
$353K
25% of the money · mostly 6s, 7s, 8s and a few 9s
AUCTION HOUSES
$1.04M
75% of the money · every sale over $45,000
SALES SINCE DEC 2025, BY VENUE
15eBay6Goldin7Fanatics Weekly5ALT1Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest PSA 9 listed on eBay is $50,000. The last PSA 9 sale was $44,910 at ALT. The one PSA 10 listed asks $123,457, under the $152,500 sale. Sellers of 9s want next year's price. The PSA 10 seller might actually be cheap.
The comps
Same Card, No Refractor
1996-97 TOPPS CHROME KOBE #138
PRICE
SALES
Refractor · PSA 10
$152,500
1 · Goldin, Jun 28, 2026
Refractor · BGS 9.5
$62,338
6 since Dec 2025
Refractor · PSA 9
$35,000
7 since Dec 2025
Refractor · PSA 8
$24,900
3 since Dec 2025
Base Chrome · PSA 10
$16,498
20 since Jul 30, 2026
Base Chrome · PSA 10, no-green copy
$27,500
1 · eBay, Sep 3, 2026
The base Chrome #138 is the same card without the refractor coating and sells about 20 times a month in PSA 10. A refractor PSA 9 costs more than two base PSA 10s. Even on the base card, the copy advertised as no-greening sold for 70% over the others.
The tape
Every sale on record
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 34 SALES
All venues, all grades, Dec 20, 2025 to Sep 20, 2026, $3,000 and up. Three eBay rows with no grade in the title and one AGS-graded row excluded.
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 19, 2026
BGS 9.5
$73,200
Goldin
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 9
$44,910
ALT
Aug 28, 2026
PSA 7 · no-greening copy
$45,600
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 28, 2026
PSA 8.5
$24,900
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 23, 2026
PSA 8
$28,060
Heritage
Aug 22, 2026
PSA 8
$14,996
eBay
Aug 10, 2026
PSA 6 · no-greening copy
$35,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 24, 2026
BGS 9.5
$78,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 23, 2026
PSA 9
$40,000
eBay
Jul 19, 2026
BGS 7
$17,273
eBay
Jul 12, 2026
BGS 8
$16,612
eBay
Jul 11, 2026
BGS 7
$14,642
Goldin
Jul 5, 2026
CGC 8 · no-greening copy
$41,100
eBay
Jun 28, 2026
PSA 10
$152,500
Goldin
Jun 22, 2026
PSA 9
$30,100
eBay
Jun 22, 2026
BGS 7.5
$15,101
eBay
Jun 19, 2026
BGS 10
$120,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jun 18, 2026
BGS 9.5
$73,200
ALT
Jun 18, 2026
BGS 9
$24,902
ALT
Jun 14, 2026
PSA 9
$28,800
Fanatics Weekly
Jun 7, 2026
BGS 9.5
$38,988
eBay
Jun 6, 2026
PSA 6
$13,725
Goldin
May 17, 2026
SGC 7
$25,300
eBay
May 11, 2026
SGC 6
$15,005
eBay
May 3, 2026
PSA 9
$35,000
eBay
Apr 20, 2026
PSA 6 · no-greening copy
$24,100
eBay
Apr 17, 2026
BGS 9.5
$50,400
Fanatics Weekly
Apr 16, 2026
PSA 9
$36,181
ALT
Mar 5, 2026
BGS 9.5
$51,476
ALT
Feb 17, 2026
PSA 6 · no-greening copy
$17,000
eBay
Feb 7, 2026
PSA 9
$31,720
Goldin
Jan 28, 2026
PSA 6
$8,999
eBay
Jan 7, 2026
RAW
$13,500
eBay
Jan 3, 2026
BGS 10
$113,323
Goldin
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 9
STEAL
under $30,000
Below every PSA 9 sale of 2026 except the Fanatics Weekly $28,800 (Jun 14)
TARGET
$30,000 – $36,000
The middle of the year's range. eBay sold 9s at $30,100 (Jun 22) and $35,000 (May 3); ALT at $36,181 (Apr 16)
FAIR
$36,000 – $45,000
Up to the ALT sale of Sep 17, 2026 ($44,910), the high print for a PSA 9
STRETCHED
$45,000 – $55,000
Above every PSA 9 sale. The cheapest listing is $50,000. At this price a BGS 9.5 ($73,000) starts to look like the better buy
WALK AWAY
over $55,000
Nobody has paid it for a 9. Two listings ask $88,889 and $248,000
BGS 9.5
Targetunder $60,000
Fair$60,000 – $75,000
Walk awayover $80,000
Six sales since March, $38,988 to $78,000, and the last three were $73,200, $78,000, $73,200. None listed on eBay. Buy it at Goldin or ALT.
PSA 8 AND RAW
PSA 8 targetunder $16,000
PSA 8 fair$16,000 – $25,000
Raw, if cleanunder $15,000
A PSA 8 sold for $14,996 on eBay and $28,060 at Heritage in the same week of Aug 2026. Look at the copy, not the label: greening decides the price at this grade. A clean raw copy under $15,000 is worth grading.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
The definitive Kobe rookie. 756 graded in thirty years, 63 PSA 10s, and the supply of clean copies shrinks every year as the chrome greens
Every rung rose in 2026: PSA 9 from $18,800 to $35,000, BGS 9.5 from $51,000 to $73,000 to $78,000. Not one venue disagrees
Grading a raw copy is close to free money: raw sells like a 6, two thirds of submissions come back a 9, and a 9 is worth $35,000
This is a house card. Goldin, ALT and Fanatics Weekly find the buyer for anything 9.5 or better; nothing above $45,000 has ever cleared on eBay this year
AGAINST
Thin. 34 sales in nine months across ten grades; one PSA 10 sale all year. Your exit is an auction consignment and a six-week wait, not a listing
Greening makes two identical labels worth different money. A PSA 8 sold for $14,996 and $28,060 in the same week. You cannot buy this card from a photo
A PSA 9 at $35,000 costs more than two base Chrome PSA 10s ($16,498). The refractor premium is already extreme
PSA 9 nearly doubled in nine months. Vintage cards re-rate in steps and then sit for years; the next step may be a long time coming
THE VERDICT
Holding a raw or low-grade copy? Grade it, and photograph it in daylight first. If it has not greened, it is worth more than its grade at every rung, and the houses will pay for that. Holding a 9 or better? Consign it to Goldin or ALT; every sale over $45,000 this year happened there. Buying? The PSA 9 at $30,000 to $36,000 is the value rung: it is the grade two thirds of copies land on, it trades most often, and it nearly doubled this year. Skip eBay listings at $50,000 and up. If you are spending more, a BGS 9.5 near $62,338 has out-traded and out-appreciated the PSA 9 all year.
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