MARKET PILLAR · CHARIZARDData through Sep 20, 2026 · real data
Charizard 1st Edition
1999 Pokémon Base Set · 1st Edition Shadowless Holo #4 · the hobby's most famous card
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
Vintage icon · capped supply · a price at every grade
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
16/25
What it measures. How often this card changes hands. High = you can buy or sell one any week at a known price. Why this card got 16 of 25. 60 sales in 90 days across every grade, eBay, Fanatics Weekly and Goldin. A PSA 5, 6 or 7 sells most weeks; a PSA 9 about every two weeks; a PSA 8 about once a month. Easy to buy at the price you can afford, slow at the top.
Grading payoff
18/20
What it measures. How much a raw copy gains by being graded, after fees, and how likely a top grade is. High = grading a clean copy is clearly worth it. Why this card got 18 of 20. A raw copy sells for about $8,091 because nobody can tell what it is. Slabbed, the worst common outcome (a PSA 4, $10,375) beats raw, a PSA 6 ($16,850) doubles it and a PSA 8 ($41,700) is five times it. There is no grade at which grading loses.
Scarcity
17/20
What it measures. How hard the card is to find and whether that will stay true. High = few exist and no more are coming. Low = plenty around, or supply still growing. Why this card got 17 of 20. A 1999 print, done. 7,416 graded copies is not rare, but 122 PSA 10s and 729 PSA 9s is, and the raw copies still turning up are 5s and 6s, not 9s. The top of the ladder cannot grow.
Price trend
11/15
What it measures. Which way prices have been moving. High = rising on real sales. Why this card got 11 of 15. Every grade roughly doubled between Dec 2025 and Apr 2026, then leveled: the PSA 8 guide went $15,953 to $31,360 and sits at $25,625; the PSA 7 guide $12,150 to $23,425, now $18,605. PSA 9 comps have held $60,000 to $66,000 since June with the latest sale the highest. Up a lot, then flat.
Price vs similar cards
11/20
What it measures. Whether today's price looks cheap or expensive next to comparable cards. High = cheap for what it is. Why this card got 11 of 20. A PSA 9 costs 53% of a CGC 10 ($114,000) and 72% of a BGS 9.5 ($84,000). Inside PSA the ladder is steep and orderly: each grade from 4 to 9 costs 1.3× to 2.4× the one below. Fully priced, and priced consistently.
The card everyone knows. 7,416 graded copies, 60 of them sold in the last 90 days, from a PSA 1 at $15,600 to a CGC 10 at $114,000. The rung that sets the market is the PSA 9: $60,550, six sales since late June, five of them at Fanatics Weekly. Below it every grade has a price and a buyer: a PSA 8 is $41,700, a PSA 7 $25,500, a PSA 5 $13,300. The PSA 10 has not had a verified sale this year; the guide sits near $336,000 and the only eBay row is a $1,000,953 print we cannot confirm.
PSA 9 90-Day Median
$60,550
•6 sales
•houses $61,000
•eBay $60,100
•latest $66,000 Sep 6, 2026
PSA 8 Guide 21-Month Move
+129%
$11,200 in Dec 2024 to $25,625 now (PriceCharting)
PSA 8 90-Day Median
$41,700
•2 sales
•$38,400 Fanatics, $45,000 eBay
Total Graded Pop
7,416
•PSA 5,768
•BGS 956
•CGC 645
•SGC 47
PSA Gem Rate
2.1%
•122 tens
•729 nines of 5,768
90-Day Volume All Grades
$1.54M
•60 sales
•eBay, Fanatics Weekly, Goldin
The spine of the report
The Grade Ladder
Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on the last 90 days across every venue; no single rung sells often enough for a 30-day price.
PSA 9
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 90 DAYS
$60,550
houses $61,000 (5) · eBay $60,100 (1)
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 2 weeks
6 sales in 90 days · 24% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
729
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$18,850
1.5×
from a PSA 8 to a PSA 9. The biggest step on the ladder, and the 8 is the thinnest rung
$20,200 to $30,030 (the $30,030 was a thick-stamp copy)
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a month
3 sales in 90 days · 5% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
625
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$8,650
1.5×
from a PSA 6 to a PSA 7
PSA 6
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 90 DAYS
$16,850
$16,310 to $19,500 · a 6.5 brought $18,000
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 3 weeks
4 sales in 90 days · 5% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
863
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$3,550
1.27×
from a PSA 5 to a PSA 6
PSA 5
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 90 DAYS
$13,300
$13,069 to $15,975 · eBay and Fanatics Weekly
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a month
7 sales in 90 days · 6% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
796
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$2,925
1.28×
from a PSA 4 to a PSA 5
PSA 4
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 90 DAYS
$10,375
$9,700 to $11,700
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 every 3 weeks
4 sales in 90 days · 3% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
634
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$2,284
1.28×
from raw to a PSA 4. Even the low grade beats an unslabbed copy
RAW
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 90 DAYS
$8,091
$5,500 to $17,143 · eBay, one at Goldin
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a week
11 sales in 90 days · 6% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEPSA 10 · 122 exist · no verified sale in 2026. Guide $336,000. The $1,000,953 eBay row of Sep 9, 2026 does not appear in eBay's own sold data and is not countedCGC 10 · 35 exist · $114,000 twice (Jul 26 and Aug 23, 2026, Fanatics Weekly)BGS 9.5 · 54 exist · $84,000 (Jun 28, 2026, Fanatics Weekly)BGS 9 thin stamp · $39,078 to $40,700, three eBay sales Aug 5 to Sep 2, 2026: the thin-stamp variety sells at PSA 8 money in a Beckett 9Other 8s · CGC 8 $21,600 (Fanatics, Sep 13) · SGC 8 $20,000 · TAG 8 $22,100 · BGS 8 thin $20,000. A non-PSA 8 is a PSA 7 in pricePSA 3 / PSA 2 / PSA 1 · 458 / 250 / 216 exist · $9,900 and $10,000 for 3s; a PSA 1 brought $15,600 at Fanatics (Jun 21, 2026)
PSA 9 ÷ PSA 8
1.5×
the widest gap on the ladder
PSA 9 ÷ PSA 5
4.6×
a 5 ($13,300) is the entry ticket most buyers take
PSA 8 ÷ Raw
5.2×
raw $8,091 because the grade is unknown
CGC 10 ÷ PSA 9
1.9×
$114,000 vs $60,550; CGC's 10 sits between a PSA 9 and the PSA 10 guide
What the auction houses change.Fanatics Weekly owns the top of this card. Five of six PSA 9 sales in 90 days were there ($61,000 middle, $66,000 high on Sep 6, 2026), plus both CGC 10s ($114,000), the BGS 9.5 ($84,000) and a PSA 8 ($38,400). eBay had one PSA 9 ($60,100, Jun 30) and the higher PSA 8 ($45,000, Sep 1). Everything from PSA 7 down splits evenly: Fanatics sells 5s and 6s at the same $13,000 to $19,500 as eBay, and Goldin's only single-card sale was a raw thick-stamp at $17,143. Sell a 9 or better at Fanatics; a 7 or lower sells for the same money wherever it is easiest for you.
Interactive
Grade It or Skip It
Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.
YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies ever: 2.1% came back a 10, 13% a 9. A raw copy today is a survivor that nobody graded in 27 years, so we start the 10 at 1% and let the 9 be the prize.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
PSA 10 is the PriceCharting guide, not a 2026 sale. PSA 9 is the 90-day middle price. The 'PSA 8 or lower' price is the pop-weighted middle of every grade from 3 to 8 ($19,400), because a raw survivor usually lands between 5 and 8.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA prices grading by declared value. A raw copy declared at $8,000 sits in a $300 tier; if it comes back a 9 or a 10 PSA bills the higher tier. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
27-month arc · PSA 8 and PSA 7
Price History
The PSA 10 has two or three sales a year and the guide's Grade 9 line blends every grader, so the chart follows the two PSA grades that trade every week. Flat through 2024, a slow rise through 2025, a jump in Feb to Apr 2026, and a slow give-back since. PSA 9 on our comps: $60,100 in June, $66,000 in September.
PSA 9 middle sale price and number of sales, Card Ladder, every venue, since Jun 22, 2026. *September through the 20th. Months with no sale show a dash; earlier 2026 eBay PSA 9 sales (12 in Terapeak, $65,000 middle) are outside the 90-day window.
Census
The Grading Picture
PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
9 or 10
14.8%
8 / 8.5
14.1%
5 to 7.5
40.8%
≤4
30.1%
5,768 graded by PSA. Only 15% are a 9 or better; the fat middle is 5 to 7. The holo scratches and the 1st Edition stamp chips, so a mint copy was rare on day one.
BY GRADER
PSA
5,768
122 tens · 729 nines · 2.1%
BGS
956
3 Pristine · 54 at 9.5 · 181 at 9
CGC
645
3 Pristine · 35 tens · 14 at 9.5
SGC
47
a rounding error on this card
A PSA card: 78% of all graded copies. CGC has given out 35 tens to PSA's 122, which is why a CGC 10 sells for a third of the PSA 10 guide.
SUPPLY: CLOSED
Printed once in 1999 and never again. 7,416 graded copies, and the raw copies still surfacing are worn: the ones we saw sell raw went for $5,500 to $13,000, which is PSA 4 to PSA 7 money. The 9 and 10 columns are as full as they will ever get. Estimated value of all PSA copies at today's prices, using the guide for the 10: about $179M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure
Where the Money Is
$1.54M changed hands across 60 single-card sales in the last 90 days (the $207,400 complete set at Goldin is not counted).
SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
24%
17%
42%
24%of dollars · PSA 9
5%of dollars · PSA 8
17%of dollars · PSA 5 to 7
5%of dollars · PSA 4 and below
42%of dollars · CGC, BGS, SGC, TAG slabs
6%of dollars · Raw
EBAY
$652K
42% of the money · most of the 4s to 7s, the raw, one PSA 9
AUCTION HOUSES
$883K
58% of the money · Fanatics Weekly and Goldin: five PSA 9s, both CGC 10s, the BGS 9.5
SALES IN 90 DAYS, BY VENUE
36eBay23Fanatics Weekly1Goldin0ALT0Heritage
THE MOOD
The only PSA 9 listed on eBay asks $85,000 against sales of $60,550. The one PSA 8 asks $59,999 against $41,700, and a PSA 7 asks $59,995 against $25,500. PSA 5s are listed from $16,500, close to the $13,300 they sell for. The high grades are priced to sit. Buy them at Fanatics Weekly, where the actual sales happen; buy a 4, 5 or 6 anywhere.
The comps
Same Card, Other Slabs
1ST EDITION SHADOWLESS CHARIZARD · NON-PSA
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
PSA 9 (for reference)
$66,000
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 6, 2026
CGC 10
$114,000
Fanatics Weekly · Aug 23, 2026
CGC 10
$114,000
Fanatics Weekly · Jul 26, 2026
BGS 9.5
$84,000
Fanatics Weekly · Jun 28, 2026
BGS 9 (thin stamp)
$40,700
eBay · Sep 2, 2026
BGS 9 (thin stamp)
$40,100
eBay · Aug 19, 2026
TAG 8
$22,100
eBay · Jun 26, 2026
CGC 8
$21,600
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 13, 2026
SGC 8
$20,000
eBay · Jun 29, 2026
BGS 8 (thin stamp)
$20,000
eBay · Sep 10, 2026
CGC 7.5
$19,800
Fanatics Weekly · Aug 23, 2026
Every non-PSA slab of this card that sold in the last 90 days. The pattern is one grade of discount: a CGC or SGC 8 sells for PSA 7 money ($25,500), a BGS 9 for PSA 8 money ($41,700), and CGC's 10 for less than double a PSA 9. If you own one of these and want PSA money, the crossover risk is the whole trade.
The tape
Every sale on record
SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 60 SALES
All venues, all grades, Jun 22 to Sep 20, 2026, $5,000 and up. 10 rows excluded: the complete set, foil packs and booster packs filed under this card, two mislabeled slabs, one unverifiable raw row and the unverified $1,000,953 PSA 10.
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 18, 2026
PSA 7
$25,500
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$13,000
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
RAW
$8,453
eBay
Sep 16, 2026
PSA 6
$16,500
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 4
$9,700
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
RAW
$6,472
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 8
$38,400
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 8
$21,600
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
PSA 6.5
$18,000
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 13, 2026
CGC 5
$10,200
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 10, 2026
BGS 8 (thin stamp)
$20,000
eBay
Sep 9, 2026
BGS 8 (thin stamp)
$20,000
eBay
Sep 9, 2026
raw (thick stamp)
$17,143
Goldin
Sep 6, 2026
PSA 9
$66,000
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 6, 2026
PSA 5
$13,200
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 6, 2026
CGC 5.5
$13,200
Fanatics Weekly
Sep 3, 2026
RAW
$12,700
eBay
Sep 2, 2026
BGS 9 (thin stamp)
$40,700
eBay
Sep 2, 2026
PSA 6
$16,310
eBay
Sep 1, 2026
PSA 8
$45,000
eBay
Aug 31, 2026
RAW
$7,500
eBay
Aug 31, 2026
RAW
$7,000
eBay
Aug 28, 2026
PSA 9
$64,999
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 28, 2026
PSA 5
$15,300
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 27, 2026
PSA 3
$10,000
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 26, 2026
BGS 6.5
$14,700
eBay
Aug 24, 2026
PSA 6
$19,500
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 23, 2026
CGC 7.5
$19,800
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 23, 2026
CGC 10
$114,000
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 19, 2026
BGS 9 (thin stamp)
$40,100
eBay
Aug 19, 2026
PSA 6
$17,200
eBay
Aug 16, 2026
BGS 6 (thick stamp)
$12,000
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 16, 2026
PSA 4
$11,700
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 9, 2026
PSA 5
$13,200
Fanatics Weekly
Aug 6, 2026
RAW
$8,250
eBay
Aug 6, 2026
PSA 7
$20,200
eBay
Aug 5, 2026
BGS 9 (thin stamp)
$39,078
eBay
Aug 5, 2026
PSA 5
$13,300
eBay
Aug 4, 2026
BGS 6.5 (thin stamp)
$12,200
eBay
Jul 28, 2026
PSA 9
$61,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 26, 2026
CGC 10
$114,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 24, 2026
PSA 9
$60,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 22, 2026
PSA 5
$14,700
eBay
Jul 21, 2026
PSA 4
$10,250
eBay
Jul 19, 2026
RAW
$5,500
eBay
Jul 12, 2026
PSA 3
$9,900
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 9, 2026
PSA 9
$60,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jul 9, 2026
BGS 7.5
$11,500
eBay
Jul 8, 2026
PSA 7 (thick stamp)
$30,030
eBay
Jul 8, 2026
PSA 4
$10,500
eBay
Jul 5, 2026
PSA 5
$13,069
eBay
Jul 3, 2026
PSA 5
$15,975
eBay
Jun 30, 2026
PSA 9
$60,100
eBay
Jun 29, 2026
SGC 8
$20,000
eBay
Jun 28, 2026
BGS 9.5
$84,000
Fanatics Weekly
Jun 28, 2026
RAW
$10,200
eBay
Jun 26, 2026
RAW
$6,500
eBay
Jun 26, 2026
TAG 8
$22,100
eBay
Jun 23, 2026
RAW
$8,091
eBay
Jun 21, 2026
PSA 1
$15,600
Fanatics Weekly
Where to buy
The Buy Ladder
PSA 9
STEAL
under $58,000
Below every PSA 9 sale of the last 90 days
TARGET
$58,000 – $62,000
Where five of six sold: $60,000 to $61,000 in July, $60,100 on eBay in June
FAIR
$62,000 – $67,000
The two most recent sales: $64,999 (Aug 28) and $66,000 (Sep 6, 2026), both Fanatics Weekly
STRETCHED
$67,000 – $75,000
Above every sale. Terapeak shows one eBay sale at $67,000
WALK AWAY
over $75,000
The only eBay listing asks $85,000. Nobody has paid that
PSA 8
Targetunder $38,000
Fair$38,000 – $45,000
Walk awayover $50,000
Two sales in 90 days, $38,400 and $45,000; the older eBay middle is $39,040. The one listing asks $59,999. This is the thinnest rung on the card: wait for Fanatics.
PSA 7
Targetunder $22,000
Fair$22,000 – $26,000
Walk awayover $31,000
Three sales, $20,200 to $30,030 (the high was a thick stamp); Terapeak's older eBay middle is $22,500. The $59,995 listing is a joke. A 7 is where a clean-looking Charizard gets affordable.
PSA 5 / PSA 6
PSA 5 targetunder $13,500
PSA 6 targetunder $17,000
Walk away5 over $16,000 · 6 over $20,000
The two most liquid rungs: 11 sales in 90 days at $13,069 to $19,500. Sellers list 5s from $16,500 to $28,000; the sales say $13,300. Never pay the ask.
Every angle
The Case For and Against
FOR
A buyer at every price. 60 sales in 90 days from $5,500 to $114,000, and every PSA grade from 1 to 9 sold at least once
The ladder is orderly: each grade from 4 to 9 costs 1.3× to 2.4× the one below, so a grade bump is worth a known amount
Supply is closed and the top is small: 122 PSA 10s, 729 PSA 9s, out of 7,416 slabs and 27 years of grading
The most-searched card in the hobby. It does not need a season, a player or a rookie class to hold demand
AGAINST
The run is over for now. PSA 8 and 7 guides peaked in Apr 2026 and are off 18% and 21%; PSA 9 has held $60,000 to $66,000 but has not broken higher
No verified PSA 10 sale in 2026, so the very top of the ladder is a guide number, and the $1,000,953 eBay row is noise you will see quoted
A CGC or SGC slab is worth a grade less. If you buy one expecting to cross it to PSA, budget for a downgrade
7,416 graded copies is not scarce. Below a PSA 8 there are thousands (2,352 at 5 to 7), and they come up for sale every week
THE VERDICT
Holding a raw copy? Grade it, whatever it looks like. Raw sells for $8,091 because nobody knows the grade; a PSA 4 gets $10,375, a 6 gets $16,850, an 8 gets $41,700. Holding a PSA 9? Fanatics Weekly is the venue, $61,000 the number, and the latest print ($66,000) the high. Buying a 9? $58,000 to $62,000, and never the $85,000 listing. Buying to own the card at all? A PSA 5 at $13,300 or a 6 at $16,850 is the same picture on the wall for a fifth of the money, and it sells the day you list it.
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