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MARKET PILLAR · BUZZ LIGHTYEARData through Sep 21, 2026 · real data

Buzz Lightyear
Wilds Unknown Iconic

2026 Disney Lorcana · Set 12: Wilds Unknown · Iconic #241/204 · Jungle Ranger · English
52
SPOTLIGHT SCORE
GRADE IT
Iconic rarity · 91% gem rate · flat since August after a 75% fall
Five parts, added together. On every line, a higher number is better. Tap the i for what it means.
Easy to buy & sell
20/25
Grading payoff
12/20
Scarcity
10/20
Price trend
2/15
Price vs similar cards
8/20

The chase card of Lorcana's twelfth set, four months after release. A PSA 10 averaged $14,380 on eBay in the second week of June, $4,558 by mid-July, and sold for $3,850 this month, 25 times in thirty days. Since the first week of August it has not moved: $3,700 to $4,250 every week. PSA has graded 663 and gemmed 91%; Beckett has slabbed 204, 84 of them Pristine and 8 Black Label. A raw copy sells for $2,000, more than a PSA 9 ($1,830), because nine in ten raw copies become a 10. This is a new-release chase that has already fallen 75% and found a floor, which is the part of the curve where the arguments start.

PSA 10
30-Day Median
$3,850
  • •25 sales Aug 17-Sep 17
  • •eBay $3,850
  • •$3,550 to $4,250
PSA 10
From the June Peak
-75%
$14,380 weekly average in June to $3,638 this week, eBay
Raw
30-Day Median
$2,000
  • •7 sales
  • •PSA 9 $1,830
  • •BGS 9.5 $2,226
Total Graded Pop
867
  • •PSA 663
  • •BGS 204
  • •no CGC or SGC yet
PSA Gem Rate
91.0%
  • •603 tens
  • •44 nines
  • •BGS 98%
Sales since Release
Card Ladder
241
  • •May to September
  • •43 in the last 30 days
The spine of the report

The Grade Ladder

Every grade this card trades at, most expensive at the top. Priced on Aug 17 to Sep 17, 2026, the seven flat weeks after the slide.

BGS 10 PRISTINE
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$4,580
$4,250 to $4,650 · eBay, Aug 17 to Sep 11, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a week
4 sales in 30 days · 13% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
84
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$730
1.19×
from a PSA 10 to a BGS 10 Pristine
PSA 10
SELLS MOST DAYS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$3,850
eBay $3,850 · ALT $3,840 (Aug 13) · $3,550 to $4,250
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
Most days
25 sales in 30 days · 68% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
603
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$1,624
1.73×
from a BGS 9.5 to a PSA 10. A 9.5 is a raw copy with a case
BGS 9.5
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$2,226
$2,000 to $2,550 · eBay, Aug 27 to Sep 13, 2026
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 1 a week
5 sales in 30 days · 8% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
108
graded copies at this rung
▲ +$226
1.11×
from raw to a BGS 9.5
RAW
A FEW A MONTH
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$2,000
$1,471 to $2,200 · eBay
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
About 2 a week
7 sales in 30 days · 9% of all dollars
HOW MANY EXIST
—
ungraded, nobody counts them
▲ +$170
1.09×
is what a RAW copy sells for over a PSA 9. Nine in ten raws are a 10; the 9 is the copy that lost
PSA 9
RARELY SELLS
TYPICAL PRICE · ALL VENUES, LAST 30 DAYS
$1,830
$1,611 (Sep 1) and $2,050 (Aug 27, 2026) · eBay
HOW OFTEN IT SELLS
A few a month
2 sales in 30 days ·
HOW MANY EXIST
44
graded copies at this rung
TOO FEW SALES TO PRICEBGS 10 Black Label · 8 exist · no sale in the window; listed at $9,000 to $11,000; June sales averaged $10,100 with the PristinesCGC 10 Pristine · $4,000 (eBay, Jul 21, 2026): PSA 10 money that weekTAG 9 · $2,800 (eBay, Jul 21, 2026) · TAG 9s listed at $3,000 to $3,250 nowJapanese print (JA 12) · PSA 10 $2,125 (Sep 15) and $1,750 (Aug 9, 2026) · pop 78 · 55% of the English 10, and two Japanese 10s are listed as if English at $3,129 and $4,090Merida Iconic #242 · the set's other Iconic: PSA 10 $1,434 median, $1,050 to $1,725, still falling
PSA 10 ÷ Raw
1.9×
with a 91% chance of getting there
Raw ÷ PSA 9
1.09×
raw is worth more than a 9
Now ÷ June Peak (PSA 10)
0.25×
$14,380 to $3,638, eBay weekly
Buzz ÷ Merida (PSA 10)
2.7×
$3,850 against the set's other Iconic at $1,434
What the auction houses change. The houses add nothing here. One auction-house sale since release: ALT, $3,840 on Aug 13, 2026, which is the eBay price of that week to the dollar. Fanatics, Goldin and Heritage have not listed it. All 25 PSA 10s this month sold on eBay at a median of $3,850. Lorcana is an eBay market; consign to a house only if you have several and want one settlement.
Interactive

Grade It or Skip It

Our numbers are filled in. Change any of them to match your card and your costs.

YOUR CARD
$
YOUR ODDS
Chance of an 8 or lower (what is left)
All PSA copies so far: 91% came back a 10, 7% a 9. We start at 85% because boom-era submissions are rougher than the first six hundred.
WHAT IT SELLS FOR
$
$
$
Prices are Aug 17-Sep 17, every venue. There is no PSA 8 sale; $1,620 is the PriceCharting guide. Auction-house PSA 10 is the single ALT sale.
FEES
%
$
$
$
PSA bills by declared value. A raw copy declared at $2,000 sits in a $75 tier; a $3,800 result moves up a tier, so we add $75. Edit both for your submission.
IF YOU GRADE IT
RESULTCHANCEYOU KEEPVS SELLING RAW
PSA 10
PSA 9
8 or lower
SELL IT RAW TODAY
after the selling fee, no risk
GRADE IT, ON AVERAGE
after every fee, across all three results
GRADING ADDS
Chance of a 10 you need to break even
Five months · PSA 10

Price History

The whole life of the card: $10,700 in June (the first month with slabs), $4,400 in July, $3,950 in August, $3,925 in September. Raw went $1,900 (release), $4,550 (June, above the graded 9), $2,000 now. A boom, a bust and a floor, in one summer.

PSA 10PSA 10 eBay monthly average, TerapeakPSA 9Raw
$0$3K$6K$9K$12KMay 2026JunJulAugSep 2026$10,689 · Jun 2026$3,925 · Sep 2026
2026
EBAY · SALES (PSA 10)
MoM
AUCTION HOUSES
GAP
May
$8,100 · 1
—
— · 0
—
Jun
$11,403 · 21
+41%
— · 0
—
Jul
$4,796 · 50
−58%
— · 0
—
Aug
$3,790 · 24
−21%
$3,840 · 1
+1%
Sep*
$3,827 · 17
+1%
— · 0
—
PSA 10 average eBay sale and sold count from Terapeak (312 listing records since May 7); auction-house column is the single ALT sale. *September through the 20th. Released May 2026.
Census

The Grading Picture

PSA GRADE DISTRIBUTION
10
91.0%
9
6.6%
8
1.7%
≤7
0.8%
663 graded by PSA in four months. Nine in ten are a 10. Iconics are pulled by the case and go straight into a sleeve; the 9s are the odd corner and the foil scuff.
BY GRADER
PSA
663
603 tens · 91.0%
BGS
204
8 Black Label · 84 Pristine · 108 at 9.5
CGC
0
none yet
SGC
0
none yet
A PSA card (76%), but Beckett matters here: a BGS 10 Pristine beats the PSA 10 by $730 and a Black Label lists at $9,000 to $11,000. A BGS 9.5 sells for raw money.
SUPPLY: IN PRINT, CASE-LEVEL PULL
Wilds Unknown released in May 2026 and is in print. Iconic is the rarest tier in Lorcana, a case-level hit, so supply grows by the case, not the box: 867 graded copies in four months, about 51 a week. Every raw sale on this page is a copy headed to a grader. Estimated value of all slabbed copies at today's prices: about $3.1M.
New PSA 10s per month: tracking started Sep 2026.
Structure

Where the Money Is

$143K changed hands across 43 sales in thirty days, Aug 17 to Sep 17, 2026.

SHARE OF ALL DOLLARS, BY GRADE
68%
21%
9%
68% of dollars · PSA 10
21% of dollars · BGS 10 Pristine and 9.5
9% of dollars · Raw
3% of dollars · PSA 9
EBAY
$143K
100% of the month's money · every sale of every grade
AUCTION HOUSES
$0
0% · one ALT sale since release ($3,840, Aug 13); nothing at Fanatics, Goldin or Heritage
SALES IN 30 DAYS, BY VENUE
43 eBay0 Fanatics Weekly0 ALT0 Goldin0 Heritage
THE MOOD
The cheapest English PSA 10 listed is $4,420 against a month of sales at $3,850; the two cheaper 'PSA 10' listings ($3,129 and $4,090) are the Japanese print. PSA 9s ask $2,200 against $1,830; raw copies ask $1,950 against $2,000. Listings sit 10% to 20% over the market on every rung; the market has been flat for seven weeks. Offer the last sale. The Black Labels at $9,000 to $11,000 are a different conversation.
The comps

Same Set, Same Rarity, and the Lorcana Benchmark

LORCANA · LAST 30 DAYS
PRICE
VENUE · DATE
Buzz Lightyear Iconic #241 · PSA 10
$3,850
30-day median · eBay
Buzz Lightyear Iconic #241 · BGS 10 Pristine
$4,580
30-day median · eBay
Buzz Lightyear Iconic #241 · raw
$2,000
30-day median · eBay
Merida Iconic #242 · PSA 10
$1,050
Fanatics Weekly · Sep 20, 2026
Merida Iconic #242 · PSA 10
$1,375
eBay · Sep 12, 2026
Merida Iconic #242 · PSA 10
$1,675
eBay · Aug 31, 2026
Buzz Iconic #241 Japanese · PSA 10
$2,125
eBay · Sep 15, 2026
Elsa First Chapter Enchanted #207 · PSA 10
$2,940
eBay · Sep 2026 median
Merida, the other Iconic in the set, is a third of Buzz and still falling; Buzz stopped. Elsa's Enchanted, three years old, is the card Lorcana prices settle toward, and Buzz sits 1.3× above it four months in. The Japanese print is the same picture at 55%.
The tape

Every sale, thirty days

SHOWING THE 10 MOST RECENT OF 43 SALES
All venues, all grades, Aug 17 to Sep 17, 2026, $10 and up: 43 rows, including five PSA 10s whose titles omit the card number (from the set-wide Iconic query). 1 Japanese-print row excluded.
DATE
GRADE
PRICE
VENUE
Sep 17, 2026
PSA 10
$3,700
eBay
Sep 17, 2026
RAW
$2,000
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
PSA 10
$3,550
eBay
Sep 15, 2026
RAW
$2,200
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$3,745
eBay
Sep 14, 2026
PSA 10
$3,650
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
BGS 9.5
$2,500
eBay
Sep 13, 2026
RAW
$2,199
eBay
Sep 11, 2026
BGS 10 Pristine
$4,560
eBay
Sep 11, 2026
PSA 10
$3,950
eBay
Where to buy

The Buy Ladder

PSA 10
STEAL
under $3,500
Below every sale of the seven flat weeks
TARGET
$3,500 – $3,850
Where the month cleared: $3,850 middle, 14 of 25 sales at $3,550 to $3,850
FAIR
$3,850 – $4,250
The top of the range: $3,900 to $4,250 on eleven sales
STRETCHED
$4,250 – $5,000
Late-July money. Nothing has sold here since Aug 5
WALK AWAY
over $5,000
June money. The set has been in print for four months
PSA 9
Targetunder $1,700
Fair$1,700 – $2,000
Walk awayover $2,200
Two sales in thirty days, $1,611 and $2,050. A 9 sells under raw because raw is a 91% shot at a 10; buy the 9 only to own the card cheaply, never to regrade.
RAW
Targetunder $1,900
Fair$1,900 – $2,200
Walk awayover $2,500
7 sales, $1,471 to $2,200, middle $2,000. At $2,000 and 85% odds the grade clears about $1,000 a card after fees; the $1,471 sale was the bargain of the month. Above $2,500 you are paying for the 10 and taking the 9 risk for free.
Every angle

The Case For and Against

FOR
A floor with seven weeks of evidence: 25 PSA 10 sales between $3,550 and $4,250, none outside it
The rarest tier in Lorcana, in a Toy Story year, on the character; the pop is 867 and grows by the case
A 91% gem rate and a $1,850 raw-to-10 gap: the best grading math of any $2,000 card on this site
Beckett buyers pay a premium here ({money(b10pm)} Pristine, five-figure Black Labels), which gives a clean copy two exits
AGAINST
Down 75% from June and flat since; there is no evidence of a turn, only of a stop
Merida, the set's other Iconic, is still falling. If Buzz follows the rarity instead of the character, the floor is not in
In print. Every case opened adds a copy and every raw copy on this page goes to PSA; the 10 column grows by 35 a week
Two Japanese 10s are listed as English at $3,129 and $4,090. Read the label: JA 12 is not EN 12
THE VERDICT

Holding a raw copy? Grade it. Nine in ten come back a $3,850 card, the miss still returns $1,830, and the price has been flat for seven weeks, so there is no rush to beat. Holding a 10? Hold. The slide is over, the pop is 867, and this is the Lorcana card of the year; sell only if you need the money, at $3,850 on eBay. Buying a 10? $3,500 to $3,850, and be patient, one clears most days. Buying raw to grade? Under $1,900, centered, and send it. Buying a 9? Under $1,700, to own it. Want the picture for half the price? The Japanese print, at $2,125, and make sure that is what you are paying for.

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FUTUREPSAGRADER RESEARCH · Data through Sep 21, 2026 · Not financial advice.